diff --git a/docs/index.html b/docs/index.html index 660ec66e..567eaf26 100644 --- a/docs/index.html +++ b/docs/index.html @@ -77,7 +77,7 @@
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 77 %
+#> Sparseness = 75.9 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -128,594 +128,99 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757931] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789245] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.23 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.858
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.218
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.642
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.625
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.92
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.935
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.206
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.575
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.979
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884) None Grid-point #1 at 0.23 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.499
-#> AvgPred = 250.946 with stdev = 30.3841
-#> Completed at 0.23
-#> Next point at 2.3 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.817
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.18
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.667
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.65
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.965
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.945
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.151
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.606
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.987
-#> Running at Laplace(0.932505) None Grid-point #2 at 2.3 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.505
-#> AvgPred = 250.947 with stdev = 30.3849
-#> Completed at 2.3
-#> Next point at 23 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.803
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.168
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.674
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.657
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.98
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.948
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.134
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.616
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.988
-#> Running at Laplace(0.294884) None Grid-point #3 at 23 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.506
-#> AvgPred = 250.947 with stdev = 30.3852
-#> Completed at 23
-#> Next point at 230 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.799
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.165
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.677
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.66
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.984
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.948
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.128
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.619
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0932505) None Grid-point #4 at 230 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 230
-#> Next point at 2300 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.798
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.66
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.985
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.126
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0294884) None Grid-point #5 at 2300 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2300
-#> Next point at 23000 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.126
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00932505) None Grid-point #6 at 23000 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 23000
-#> Next point at 230000 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.126
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00294884) None Grid-point #7 at 230000 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 230000
-#> Next point at 2.3e+06 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000932505) None Grid-point #8 at 2.3e+06 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+06
-#> Next point at 2.3e+07 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000294884) None Grid-point #9 at 2.3e+07 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+07
-#> Next point at 2.3e+08 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.3e+08 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+08
-#> Next point at 2.3e+09 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.3e+09 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+09
-#> Next point at 2.3e+10 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.3e+10 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+10
-#> Next point at 2.3e+11 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.3e+11 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+11
-#> Next point at 2.3e+12 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.3e+12 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+12
-#> Next point at 2.3e+13 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.3e+13 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+13
-#> Next point at 2.3e+14 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.3e+14 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+14
-#> Next point at 2.3e+15 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.3e+15 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+15
-#> Next point at 2.3e+16 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.3e+16 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+16
-#> Next point at 2.3e+17 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+16 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.3e+17 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+17
-#> Next point at 2.3e+18 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+16 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+17 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.3e+18 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+18
-#> Next point at 2.3e+19 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+16 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+17 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+18 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(2.94884e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.3e+19 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+19
-#> Next point at 2.3e+20 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+16 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+17 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+18 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+19 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 267.797
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 210.163
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 247.678
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.661
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 234.986
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 256.949
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 237.125
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 203.62
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 268.989
-#> Running at Laplace(9.32505e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.3e+20 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 313.507
-#> AvgPred = 250.948 with stdev = 30.3853
-#> Completed at 2.3e+20
-#> Next point at 2.41831e+12 with value 250.948 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.23 ] = 250.946(30.3841)
-#> search[ 2.3 ] = 250.947(30.3849)
-#> search[ 23 ] = 250.947(30.3852)
-#> search[ 230 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2300 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 23000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 230000 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+06 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+07 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+08 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+09 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+10 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+11 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+12 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+13 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+14 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+15 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+16 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+17 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+18 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+19 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#> search[ 2.3e+20 ] = 250.948(30.3853)
-#>
-#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (250.948) estimated at:
-#> 2.41831e+12 (variance)
-#> 9.09409e-07 (lambda)
+#> Starting var = 0.241 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 558.834
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 629.538
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.237
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 557.823
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 639.232
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 660.216
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 493.902
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 647.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 873.862
+#> Running at Laplace(2.88076) None Grid-point #1 at 0.241 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.915
+#> AvgPred = 621.822 with stdev = 97.0547
+#> Completed at 0.241
+#> Next point at 2.41 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.241 ] = 621.822(97.0547)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 558.859
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 629.492
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.231
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 557.829
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 639.243
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 660.233
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 493.917
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 647.677
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 873.817
+#> Running at Laplace(0.910975) None Grid-point #2 at 2.41 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.913
+#> AvgPred = 621.821 with stdev = 97.0402
+#> Completed at 2.41
+#> Next point at 0.0241 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.241 ] = 621.822(97.0547)
+#> search[ 2.41 ] = 621.821(97.0402)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 558.791
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 629.679
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.253
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 557.797
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 639.192
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 660.188
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 493.85
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 647.622
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 873.997
+#> Running at Laplace(9.10975) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0241 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.914
+#> AvgPred = 621.828 with stdev = 97.0986
+#> Completed at 0.0241
+#> Next point at 0.00241 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.0241 ] = 621.828(97.0986)
+#> search[ 0.241 ] = 621.822(97.0547)
+#> search[ 2.41 ] = 621.821(97.0402)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 558.629
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 630.036
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.386
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 557.741
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 638.953
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 660.184
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 493.637
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 647.6
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 874.31
+#> Running at Laplace(28.8076) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00241 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 578.792
+#> AvgPred = 621.827 with stdev = 97.2197
+#> Completed at 0.00241
+#> Next point at 0.0010937 with value 621.827 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 0.00241 ] = 621.827(97.2197)
+#> search[ 0.0241 ] = 621.828(97.0986)
+#> search[ 0.241 ] = 621.822(97.0547)
+#> search[ 2.41 ] = 621.821(97.0402)
+#>
+#>
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (621.827) estimated at:
+#> 0.0010937 (variance)
+#> 42.7628 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(9.09409e-07) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(42.7628) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 2.418308e+12
+#> [1] 0.0010937
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -1953.765 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -2134.836 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -4.19783727 0.30746087 0.02797239
+#> -3.70113314 0.01674055 0.00000000
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -4.236526 -4.159602 22
+#> (Intercept) 0 -3.729976 -3.673209 23
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 75.05 %
+#> Sparseness = 75.6 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -199,118 +199,204 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757933] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789247] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.2495 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 693.612
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 727.871
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 856.472
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 872.52
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 757.649
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 752.08
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 777.327
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 670.9
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 778.766
-#> Running at Laplace(2.83126) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2495 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 958.317
-#> AvgPred = 784.551 with stdev = 83.2879
-#> Completed at 0.2495
-#> Next point at 2.495 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2495 ] = 784.551(83.2879)
+#> Starting var = 0.244 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.184
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.249
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 160.028
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.655
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.354
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.803
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.623
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 137.887
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.734
+#> Running at Laplace(2.86299) None Grid-point #1 at 0.244 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.477
+#> AvgPred = 151.499 with stdev = 24.8369
+#> Completed at 0.244
+#> Next point at 2.44 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 693.629
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 727.901
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 856.465
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 872.541
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 757.617
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 752.117
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 777.31
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 670.913
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 778.729
-#> Running at Laplace(0.895323) None Grid-point #2 at 2.495 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 958.301
-#> AvgPred = 784.552 with stdev = 83.2805
-#> Completed at 2.495
-#> Next point at 24.95 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2495 ] = 784.551(83.2879)
-#> search[ 2.495 ] = 784.552(83.2805)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.166
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.248
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 160.03
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.647
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.309
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.801
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.578
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 137.837
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.718
+#> Running at Laplace(0.905357) None Grid-point #2 at 2.44 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.449
+#> AvgPred = 151.478 with stdev = 24.8369
+#> Completed at 2.44
+#> Next point at 0.0244 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
+#> search[ 2.44 ] = 151.478(24.8369)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 693.634
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 727.911
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 856.462
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 872.547
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 757.606
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 752.129
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 777.305
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 670.917
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 778.718
-#> Running at Laplace(0.283126) None Grid-point #3 at 24.95 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 958.296
-#> AvgPred = 784.552 with stdev = 83.2781
-#> Completed at 24.95
-#> Next point at 249.5 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2495 ] = 784.551(83.2879)
-#> search[ 2.495 ] = 784.552(83.2805)
-#> search[ 24.95 ] = 784.552(83.2781)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.24
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.205
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 160.006
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.671
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.49
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.794
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.755
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 138.031
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.692
+#> Running at Laplace(9.05357) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0244 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.557
+#> AvgPred = 151.544 with stdev = 24.8316
+#> Completed at 0.0244
+#> Next point at 0.00244 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.0244 ] = 151.544(24.8316)
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
+#> search[ 2.44 ] = 151.478(24.8369)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 693.635
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 727.913
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 856.461
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 872.549
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 757.603
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 752.132
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 777.303
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 670.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 778.714
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0895323) None Grid-point #4 at 249.5 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 958.294
-#> AvgPred = 784.552 with stdev = 83.2774
-#> Completed at 249.5
-#> Next point at 2495 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2495 ] = 784.551(83.2879)
-#> search[ 2.495 ] = 784.552(83.2805)
-#> search[ 24.95 ] = 784.552(83.2781)
-#> search[ 249.5 ] = 784.552(83.2774)
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.378
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.133
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 159.943
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.618
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.676
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.739
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 131.127
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 137.975
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.61
+#> Running at Laplace(28.6299) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00244 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.596
+#> AvgPred = 151.579 with stdev = 24.7953
+#> Completed at 0.00244
+#> Next point at 0.000244 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.00244 ] = 151.579(24.7953)
+#> search[ 0.0244 ] = 151.544(24.8316)
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
+#> search[ 2.44 ] = 151.478(24.8369)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 693.636
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 727.914
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 856.461
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 872.55
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 757.602
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 752.133
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 777.302
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 670.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 778.713
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0283126) None Grid-point #5 at 2495 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 958.294
-#> AvgPred = 784.552 with stdev = 83.2771
-#> Completed at 2495
-#> Next point at 146.811 with value 784.553 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.2495 ] = 784.551(83.2879)
-#> search[ 2.495 ] = 784.552(83.2805)
-#> search[ 24.95 ] = 784.552(83.2781)
-#> search[ 249.5 ] = 784.552(83.2774)
-#> search[ 2495 ] = 784.552(83.2771)
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.378
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.133
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 159.943
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.618
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.676
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.739
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 131.206
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 137.975
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.61
+#> Running at Laplace(90.5357) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000244 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.596
+#> AvgPred = 151.587 with stdev = 24.7888
+#> Completed at 0.000244
+#> Next point at 2.44e-05 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.000244 ] = 151.587(24.7888)
+#> search[ 0.00244 ] = 151.579(24.7953)
+#> search[ 0.0244 ] = 151.544(24.8316)
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
+#> search[ 2.44 ] = 151.478(24.8369)
#>
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 103.378
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 130.133
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 159.943
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 151.618
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 175.676
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 161.739
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 131.206
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 137.975
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 173.61
+#> Running at Laplace(286.299) None Grid-point #6 at 2.44e-05 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 190.596
+#> AvgPred = 151.587 with stdev = 24.7888
+#> Completed at 2.44e-05
+#> Next point at 1.62865e-05 with value 151.591 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 2.44e-05 ] = 151.587(24.7888)
+#> search[ 0.000244 ] = 151.587(24.7888)
+#> search[ 0.00244 ] = 151.579(24.7953)
+#> search[ 0.0244 ] = 151.544(24.8316)
+#> search[ 0.244 ] = 151.499(24.8369)
+#> search[ 2.44 ] = 151.478(24.8369)
#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (784.553) estimated at:
-#> 146.811 (variance)
-#> 0.116718 (lambda)
+#>
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (151.591) estimated at:
+#> 1.62865e-05 (variance)
+#> 350.43 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(0.116718) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(350.43) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 146.8106
+#> [1] 1.62865e-05
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -2194.845 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -1858.348 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -3.56117384 0.03211331 -0.01937822
+#> -4.261846 0.000000 0.000000
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -3.590514 -3.532095 22
+#> (Intercept) 0 -4.295195 -4.228855 24
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 76.2 %
+#> Sparseness = 76.6 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -133,81 +133,190 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757934] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789248] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.238 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 898.631
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 1378.61
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 1439.51
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1227.83
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1717.57
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1272.34
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1047.47
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 1266.38
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1253.53
-#> Running at Laplace(2.89886) None Grid-point #1 at 0.238 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1346.96
-#> AvgPred = 1284.88 with stdev = 208.341
-#> Completed at 0.238
-#> Next point at 2.38 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.238 ] = 1284.88(208.341)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 898.623
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 1378.57
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 1439.49
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1227.81
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1717.55
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1272.36
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1047.55
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 1266.43
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1253.54
-#> Running at Laplace(0.916698) None Grid-point #2 at 2.38 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1346.91
-#> AvgPred = 1284.88 with stdev = 208.324
-#> Completed at 2.38
-#> Next point at 23.8 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.238 ] = 1284.88(208.341)
-#> search[ 2.38 ] = 1284.88(208.324)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 898.62
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 1378.56
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 1439.48
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1227.81
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1717.54
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1272.37
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1047.58
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 1266.45
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1253.54
-#> Running at Laplace(0.289886) None Grid-point #3 at 23.8 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1346.9
-#> AvgPred = 1284.88 with stdev = 208.318
-#> Completed at 23.8
-#> Next point at 5.37835 with value 1284.88 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.238 ] = 1284.88(208.341)
-#> search[ 2.38 ] = 1284.88(208.324)
-#> search[ 23.8 ] = 1284.88(208.318)
-#>
-#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (1284.88) estimated at:
-#> 5.37835 (variance)
-#> 0.609804 (lambda)
+#> Starting var = 0.234 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 600.677
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 519.924
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 621.534
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 429.156
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 455.987
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 569.073
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 445.111
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 680.122
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 513.724
+#> Running at Laplace(2.92353) None Grid-point #1 at 0.234 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 579.541
+#> AvgPred = 541.485 with stdev = 78.608
+#> Completed at 0.234
+#> Next point at 2.34 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.234 ] = 541.485(78.608)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 600.62
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 519.914
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 621.499
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 429.072
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 455.985
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 569.055
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 445.068
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 680.096
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 513.724
+#> Running at Laplace(0.9245) None Grid-point #2 at 2.34 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 579.472
+#> AvgPred = 541.45 with stdev = 78.6096
+#> Completed at 2.34
+#> Next point at 0.0234 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.234 ] = 541.485(78.608)
+#> search[ 2.34 ] = 541.45(78.6096)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 600.805
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 519.924
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 621.649
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 429.416
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 456.004
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 569.073
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 445.152
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 680.134
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 513.725
+#> Running at Laplace(9.245) None Grid-point #3 at 0.0234 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 579.753
+#> AvgPred = 541.564 with stdev = 78.598
+#> Completed at 0.0234
+#> Next point at 0.00234 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.0234 ] = 541.564(78.598)
+#> search[ 0.234 ] = 541.485(78.608)
+#> search[ 2.34 ] = 541.45(78.6096)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 600.805
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 519.924
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 621.874
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 430.035
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 456.006
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 569.073
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 445.152
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 680.134
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 513.725
+#> Running at Laplace(29.2353) None Grid-point #4 at 0.00234 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 580.157
+#> AvgPred = 541.688 with stdev = 78.5522
+#> Completed at 0.00234
+#> Next point at 0.000234 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.00234 ] = 541.688(78.5522)
+#> search[ 0.0234 ] = 541.564(78.598)
+#> search[ 0.234 ] = 541.485(78.608)
+#> search[ 2.34 ] = 541.45(78.6096)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 600.805
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 519.924
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 621.874
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 430.035
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 456.006
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 569.073
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 445.152
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 680.134
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 513.725
+#> Running at Laplace(92.45) None Grid-point #5 at 0.000234 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 580.157
+#> AvgPred = 541.688 with stdev = 78.5522
+#> Completed at 0.000234
+#> Next point at 3.23147e-23 with value 542.287 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 0.000234 ] = 541.688(78.5522)
+#> search[ 0.00234 ] = 541.688(78.5522)
+#> search[ 0.0234 ] = 541.564(78.598)
+#> search[ 0.234 ] = 541.485(78.608)
+#> search[ 2.34 ] = 541.45(78.6096)
+#>
+#>
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (542.287) estimated at:
+#> 3.23147e-23 (variance)
+#> 2.4878e+11 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(0.609804) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(2.4878e+11) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 5.37835
+#> [1] 3.231474e-23
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -2158.207 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -2122.09 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -3.92974607 -0.02127371 1.41692709
+#> -3.777662 0.000000 0.000000
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -3.962925 -3.8969 22
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#>
+#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
+#> Enforcing convergence!
+#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
+#> (Intercept) 0 -3.803731 -3.751804 24
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 73.85 %
+#> Sparseness = 76.45 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -84,594 +84,594 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757937] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789251] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.2615 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.484
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.249
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.957
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.492
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.273
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.21
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.256
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.388
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.904
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2615 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.303
-#> AvgPred = 439.952 with stdev = 42.2492
-#> Completed at 0.2615
-#> Next point at 2.615 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
+#> Starting var = 0.2355 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.67
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.72
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.777
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.9
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.64
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.842
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1098.02
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2355 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.69
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.3088
+#> Completed at 0.2355
+#> Next point at 2.355 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.478
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.302
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.968
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.462
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.28
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.206
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.398
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.914
-#> Running at Laplace(0.874539) None Grid-point #2 at 2.615 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.313
-#> AvgPred = 439.952 with stdev = 42.2447
-#> Completed at 2.615
-#> Next point at 26.15 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.67
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.711
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.76
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.86
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.82
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1098
+#> Running at Laplace(0.921551) None Grid-point #2 at 2.355 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.79
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.3073
+#> Completed at 2.355
+#> Next point at 23.55 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.318
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.971
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.453
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.282
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.205
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.188
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.4
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.917
-#> Running at Laplace(0.276553) None Grid-point #3 at 26.15 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.316
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.243
-#> Completed at 26.15
-#> Next point at 261.5 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.709
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.755
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.84
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.813
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.99
+#> Running at Laplace(0.29142) None Grid-point #3 at 23.55 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.83
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.3071
+#> Completed at 23.55
+#> Next point at 235.5 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.323
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.45
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.282
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.182
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.401
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.917
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0874539) None Grid-point #4 at 261.5 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.317
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2425
-#> Completed at 261.5
-#> Next point at 2615 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.708
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.753
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.84
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.81
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0921551) None Grid-point #4 at 235.5 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 235.5
+#> Next point at 2355 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.449
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.282
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.181
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.0276553) None Grid-point #5 at 2615 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.317
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2423
-#> Completed at 2615
-#> Next point at 26150 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.81
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.029142) None Grid-point #5 at 2355 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2355
+#> Next point at 23550 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.449
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00874539) None Grid-point #6 at 26150 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2423
-#> Completed at 26150
-#> Next point at 261500 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00921551) None Grid-point #6 at 23550 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 23550
+#> Next point at 235500 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.00276553) None Grid-point #7 at 261500 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 261500
-#> Next point at 2.615e+06 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0029142) None Grid-point #7 at 235500 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 235500
+#> Next point at 2.355e+06 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000874539) None Grid-point #8 at 2.615e+06 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+06
-#> Next point at 2.615e+07 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000921551) None Grid-point #8 at 2.355e+06 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+06
+#> Next point at 2.355e+07 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(0.000276553) None Grid-point #9 at 2.615e+07 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+07
-#> Next point at 2.615e+08 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00029142) None Grid-point #9 at 2.355e+07 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+07
+#> Next point at 2.355e+08 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.615e+08 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+08
-#> Next point at 2.615e+09 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.355e+08 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+08
+#> Next point at 2.355e+09 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.615e+09 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+09
-#> Next point at 2.615e+10 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.355e+09 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+09
+#> Next point at 2.355e+10 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.615e+10 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+10
-#> Next point at 2.615e+11 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.355e+10 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+10
+#> Next point at 2.355e+11 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.615e+11 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+11
-#> Next point at 2.615e+12 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.355e+11 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+11
+#> Next point at 2.355e+12 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.615e+12 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+12
-#> Next point at 2.615e+13 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.355e+12 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+12
+#> Next point at 2.355e+13 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.615e+13 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+13
-#> Next point at 2.615e+14 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.355e+13 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+13
+#> Next point at 2.355e+14 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.615e+14 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+14
-#> Next point at 2.615e+15 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.355e+14 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+14
+#> Next point at 2.355e+15 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.615e+15 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+15
-#> Next point at 2.615e+16 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.355e+15 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+15
+#> Next point at 2.355e+16 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.615e+16 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+16
-#> Next point at 2.615e+17 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+16 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.355e+16 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+16
+#> Next point at 2.355e+17 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+16 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.615e+17 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+17
-#> Next point at 2.615e+18 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+16 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+17 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.355e+17 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+17
+#> Next point at 2.355e+18 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+16 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+17 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.615e+18 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+18
-#> Next point at 2.615e+19 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+16 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+17 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+18 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.355e+18 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+18
+#> Next point at 2.355e+19 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+16 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+17 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+18 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(2.76553e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.615e+19 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+19
-#> Next point at 2.615e+20 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+16 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+17 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+18 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+19 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(2.9142e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.355e+19 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+19
+#> Next point at 2.355e+20 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+16 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+17 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+18 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+19 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 372.477
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 427.325
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 468.972
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 505.448
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 364.283
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 433.204
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 443.18
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 438.402
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 475.918
-#> Running at Laplace(8.74539e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.615e+20 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 470.318
-#> AvgPred = 439.953 with stdev = 42.2422
-#> Completed at 2.615e+20
-#> Next point at 3.27402e+12 with value 439.953 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.2615 ] = 439.952(42.2492)
-#> search[ 2.615 ] = 439.952(42.2447)
-#> search[ 26.15 ] = 439.953(42.243)
-#> search[ 261.5 ] = 439.953(42.2425)
-#> search[ 2615 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 26150 ] = 439.953(42.2423)
-#> search[ 261500 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+06 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+07 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+08 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+09 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+10 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+11 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+12 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+13 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+14 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+15 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+16 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+17 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+18 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+19 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
-#> search[ 2.615e+20 ] = 439.953(42.2422)
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 1071.68
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 887.707
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 989.752
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 1248.83
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 1083.66
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 1084.42
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 1009.43
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 927.809
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 1097.98
+#> Running at Laplace(9.21551e-11) None Grid-point #22 at 2.355e+20 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 1089.84
+#> AvgPred = 1049.11 with stdev = 96.307
+#> Completed at 2.355e+20
+#> Next point at 5.19595e+12 with value 1049.11 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 0.2355 ] = 1049.11(96.3088)
+#> search[ 2.355 ] = 1049.11(96.3073)
+#> search[ 23.55 ] = 1049.11(96.3071)
+#> search[ 235.5 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2355 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 23550 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 235500 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+06 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+07 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+08 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+09 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+10 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+11 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+12 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+13 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+14 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+15 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+16 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+17 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+18 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+19 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
+#> search[ 2.355e+20 ] = 1049.11(96.307)
#>
#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (439.953) estimated at:
-#> 3.27402e+12 (variance)
-#> 7.81582e-07 (lambda)
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (1049.11) estimated at:
+#> 5.19595e+12 (variance)
+#> 6.20415e-07 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(7.81582e-07) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(6.20415e-07) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 3.274021e+12
+#> [1] 5.19595e+12
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -2097.62 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -2307.763 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -3.87566911 0.05844875 0.01875022
+#> -3.54550102 0.31433174 -0.03279651
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -3.910302 -3.841399 22
+#> (Intercept) 0 -3.573019 -3.518211 22
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 77.4 %
+#> Sparseness = 75.25 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -89,81 +89,558 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757939] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789252] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.226 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 424.312
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 286.112
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 542.244
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 462.595
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 523.632
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 390.675
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 360.237
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.312
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 395.077
-#> Running at Laplace(2.97482) None Grid-point #1 at 0.226 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 331.197
-#> AvgPred = 411.539 with stdev = 76.2186
-#> Completed at 0.226
-#> Next point at 2.26 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.226 ] = 411.539(76.2186)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 424.271
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 286.187
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 542.304
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 462.57
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 523.608
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 390.669
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 360.212
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.333
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 395.126
-#> Running at Laplace(0.940721) None Grid-point #2 at 2.26 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 331.12
-#> AvgPred = 411.54 with stdev = 76.2193
-#> Completed at 2.26
-#> Next point at 22.6 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.226 ] = 411.539(76.2186)
-#> search[ 2.26 ] = 411.54(76.2193)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 424.258
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 286.211
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 542.322
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 462.562
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 523.601
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 390.667
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 360.204
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.34
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 395.142
-#> Running at Laplace(0.297482) None Grid-point #3 at 22.6 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 331.095
-#> AvgPred = 411.54 with stdev = 76.2195
-#> Completed at 22.6
-#> Next point at 7.08693 with value 411.54 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.226 ] = 411.539(76.2186)
-#> search[ 2.26 ] = 411.54(76.2193)
-#> search[ 22.6 ] = 411.54(76.2195)
-#>
-#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (411.54) estimated at:
-#> 7.08693 (variance)
-#> 0.531234 (lambda)
+#> Starting var = 0.2475 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.157
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.169
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.884
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.664
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.191
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.997
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.955
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.568
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.503
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2475 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.936
+#> AvgPred = 775.802 with stdev = 46.7085
+#> Completed at 0.2475
+#> Next point at 2.475 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.135
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.181
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.903
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.66
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.233
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.984
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.951
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.56
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.492
+#> Running at Laplace(0.898933) None Grid-point #2 at 2.475 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.932
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7144
+#> Completed at 2.475
+#> Next point at 24.75 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.128
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.185
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.909
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.658
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.246
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.98
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.949
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.558
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.488
+#> Running at Laplace(0.284268) None Grid-point #3 at 24.75 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.931
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7163
+#> Completed at 24.75
+#> Next point at 247.5 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.126
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.91
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.658
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.25
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.979
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.949
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.557
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0898933) None Grid-point #4 at 247.5 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7169
+#> Completed at 247.5
+#> Next point at 2475 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.251
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.0284268) None Grid-point #5 at 2475 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7171
+#> Completed at 2475
+#> Next point at 24750 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.251
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00898933) None Grid-point #6 at 24750 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7171
+#> Completed at 24750
+#> Next point at 247500 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.251
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.00284268) None Grid-point #7 at 247500 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7171
+#> Completed at 247500
+#> Next point at 2.475e+06 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000898933) None Grid-point #8 at 2.475e+06 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+06
+#> Next point at 2.475e+07 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(0.000284268) None Grid-point #9 at 2.475e+07 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+07
+#> Next point at 2.475e+08 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-05) None Grid-point #10 at 2.475e+08 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+08
+#> Next point at 2.475e+09 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-05) None Grid-point #11 at 2.475e+09 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+09
+#> Next point at 2.475e+10 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-06) None Grid-point #12 at 2.475e+10 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+10
+#> Next point at 2.475e+11 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-06) None Grid-point #13 at 2.475e+11 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+11
+#> Next point at 2.475e+12 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-07) None Grid-point #14 at 2.475e+12 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+12
+#> Next point at 2.475e+13 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-07) None Grid-point #15 at 2.475e+13 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+13
+#> Next point at 2.475e+14 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-08) None Grid-point #16 at 2.475e+14 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+14
+#> Next point at 2.475e+15 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-08) None Grid-point #17 at 2.475e+15 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+15
+#> Next point at 2.475e+16 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+15 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-09) None Grid-point #18 at 2.475e+16 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+16
+#> Next point at 2.475e+17 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+15 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+16 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-09) None Grid-point #19 at 2.475e+17 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+17
+#> Next point at 2.475e+18 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+15 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+16 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+17 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(8.98933e-10) None Grid-point #20 at 2.475e+18 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+18
+#> Next point at 2.475e+19 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+15 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+16 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+17 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+18 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 764.125
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 802.186
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.911
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 829.657
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 803.252
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 774.978
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 771.948
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 809.556
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 730.487
+#> Running at Laplace(2.84268e-10) None Grid-point #21 at 2.475e+19 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 661.93
+#> AvgPred = 775.803 with stdev = 46.7172
+#> Completed at 2.475e+19
+#> Next point at 6.1351e+11 with value 775.803 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 0.2475 ] = 775.802(46.7085)
+#> search[ 2.475 ] = 775.803(46.7144)
+#> search[ 24.75 ] = 775.803(46.7163)
+#> search[ 247.5 ] = 775.803(46.7169)
+#> search[ 2475 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 24750 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 247500 ] = 775.803(46.7171)
+#> search[ 2.475e+06 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+07 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+08 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+09 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+10 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+11 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+12 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+13 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+14 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+15 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+16 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+17 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+18 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#> search[ 2.475e+19 ] = 775.803(46.7172)
+#>
+#>
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (775.803) estimated at:
+#> 6.1351e+11 (variance)
+#> 1.80553e-06 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(0.531234) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(1.80553e-06) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 7.086931
+#> [1] 6.1351e+11
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -2045.115 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -2193.651 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -3.89896635 -0.03932575 0.03150517
+#> -3.61883104 0.06239337 0.04106083
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -3.932993 -3.865291 22
+#> (Intercept) 0 -3.649159 -3.588779 22
#Generate some simulated data:
sim <- simulateCyclopsData(nstrata = 1, nrows = 1000, ncovars = 2, eCovarsPerRow = 0.5,
model = "poisson")
-#> Sparseness = 76.25 %
+#> Sparseness = 77.45 %
cyclopsData <- convertToCyclopsData(sim$outcomes, sim$covariates, modelType = "pr",
addIntercept = TRUE)
#> Sorting covariates by covariateId and rowId
@@ -122,163 +122,99 @@ Examples
#Fit the model
fit <- fitCyclopsModel(cyclopsData,prior = prior, control = control)
#> Using cross-validation selector type byRow
-#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698757941] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
+#> Performing 10-fold cross-validation [seed = 1698789255] with data partitions of sizes 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#> Starting var = 0.2375 (default)
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 102.616
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 194.806
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 198.183
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 145.178
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 75.747
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 78.3006
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 123.887
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 192.631
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 153.328
-#> Running at Laplace(2.90191) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2375 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 101.303
-#> AvgPred = 136.598 with stdev = 45.0972
-#> Completed at 0.2375
-#> Next point at 2.375 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2375 ] = 136.598(45.0972)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 102.586
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 194.788
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 198.074
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 145.144
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 75.6951
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 78.2926
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 123.843
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 192.573
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 153.292
-#> Running at Laplace(0.917663) None Grid-point #2 at 2.375 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 101.237
-#> AvgPred = 136.553 with stdev = 45.0876
-#> Completed at 2.375
-#> Next point at 0.02375 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.2375 ] = 136.598(45.0972)
-#> search[ 2.375 ] = 136.553(45.0876)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 102.69
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 194.857
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 198.387
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 145.273
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 75.8784
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 78.3257
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 124.02
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 192.801
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 153.42
-#> Running at Laplace(9.17663) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02375 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 101.43
-#> AvgPred = 136.708 with stdev = 45.1178
-#> Completed at 0.02375
-#> Next point at 0.002375 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.02375 ] = 136.708(45.1178)
-#> search[ 0.2375 ] = 136.598(45.0972)
-#> search[ 2.375 ] = 136.553(45.0876)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 102.69
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 194.874
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 198.387
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 145.273
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 75.988
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 78.3279
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 124.209
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 192.831
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 153.42
-#> Running at Laplace(29.0191) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002375 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 101.43
-#> AvgPred = 136.743 with stdev = 45.1033
-#> Completed at 0.002375
-#> Next point at 0.0002375 with value 0 and continue = 1
-#> search[ 0.002375 ] = 136.743(45.1033)
-#> search[ 0.02375 ] = 136.708(45.1178)
-#> search[ 0.2375 ] = 136.598(45.0972)
-#> search[ 2.375 ] = 136.553(45.0876)
-#>
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 102.69
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 194.874
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 198.387
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 145.273
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 75.988
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 78.3279
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 124.209
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 192.831
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 153.42
-#> Running at Laplace(91.7663) None Grid-point #5 at 0.0002375 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 101.43
-#> AvgPred = 136.743 with stdev = 45.1033
-#> Completed at 0.0002375
-#> Next point at 0.00014571 with value 136.751 and continue = 0
-#> search[ 0.0002375 ] = 136.743(45.1033)
-#> search[ 0.002375 ] = 136.743(45.1033)
-#> search[ 0.02375 ] = 136.708(45.1178)
-#> search[ 0.2375 ] = 136.598(45.0972)
-#> search[ 2.375 ] = 136.553(45.0876)
-#>
-#>
-#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (136.751) estimated at:
-#> 0.00014571 (variance)
-#> 117.158 (lambda)
+#> Starting var = 0.2255 (default)
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 273.307
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.873
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 404.29
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 453.587
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 409.265
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 383.626
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 322.027
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 388.538
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 307.366
+#> Running at Laplace(2.97812) None Grid-point #1 at 0.2255 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 439.966
+#> AvgPred = 378.185 with stdev = 55.6106
+#> Completed at 0.2255
+#> Next point at 2.255 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2255 ] = 378.185(55.6106)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 273.215
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.868
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 404.281
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 453.566
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 409.239
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 383.621
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 322.048
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 388.517
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 307.357
+#> Running at Laplace(0.941763) None Grid-point #2 at 2.255 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 439.957
+#> AvgPred = 378.167 with stdev = 55.6206
+#> Completed at 2.255
+#> Next point at 0.02255 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.2255 ] = 378.185(55.6106)
+#> search[ 2.255 ] = 378.167(55.6206)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 273.567
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.871
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 404.295
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 453.644
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 409.323
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 383.623
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 321.955
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 388.579
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 307.378
+#> Running at Laplace(9.41763) None Grid-point #3 at 0.02255 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 439.958
+#> AvgPred = 378.219 with stdev = 55.5785
+#> Completed at 0.02255
+#> Next point at 0.002255 with value 0 and continue = 1
+#> search[ 0.02255 ] = 378.219(55.5785)
+#> search[ 0.2255 ] = 378.185(55.6106)
+#> search[ 2.255 ] = 378.167(55.6206)
+#>
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #1 Rep #1 pred log like = 274.347
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #2 Rep #1 pred log like = 399.829
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #3 Rep #1 pred log like = 404.168
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #4 Rep #1 pred log like = 453.483
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #5 Rep #1 pred log like = 409.31
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #6 Rep #1 pred log like = 383.395
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #7 Rep #1 pred log like = 321.694
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #8 Rep #1 pred log like = 388.495
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #9 Rep #1 pred log like = 307.173
+#> Running at Laplace(29.7812) None Grid-point #4 at 0.002255 Fold #10 Rep #1 pred log like = 439.822
+#> AvgPred = 378.172 with stdev = 55.4357
+#> Completed at 0.002255
+#> Next point at 0.0505023 with value 378.206 and continue = 0
+#> search[ 0.002255 ] = 378.172(55.4357)
+#> search[ 0.02255 ] = 378.219(55.5785)
+#> search[ 0.2255 ] = 378.185(55.6106)
+#> search[ 2.255 ] = 378.167(55.6206)
+#>
+#>
+#> Maximum predicted log likelihood (378.206) estimated at:
+#> 0.0505023 (variance)
+#> 6.29302 (lambda)
#>
#> Fitting model at optimal hyperparameter
-#> Using prior: Laplace(117.158) None
+#> Using prior: Laplace(6.29302) None
#Find out what the optimal hyperparameter was:
getHyperParameter(fit)
-#> [1] 0.0001457099
+#> [1] 0.0505023
#Extract the current log-likelihood, and coefficients
logLik(fit)
-#> 'log Lik.' -1805.625 (df=3)
+#> 'log Lik.' -2012.552 (df=3)
coef(fit)
#> (Intercept) 1 2
-#> -4.287453 0.000000 0.000000
+#> -3.94394237 0.00000000 0.06899875
#We can only retrieve the confidence interval for unregularized coefficients:
confint(fit, c(0))
#> Using 1 thread(s)
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
-#>
-#> Warning: BLR gradient is ill-conditioned
-#> Enforcing convergence!
#> covariate 2.5 % 97.5 % evaluations
-#> (Intercept) 0 -4.321798 -4.253487 23
+#> (Intercept) 0 -3.977897 -3.909783 22