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CMIP6Plus data set, v20241002: Comparison of transition rates with CMIP6 Comparison of globally-integrated transition rates among different land use types showed some significant differences from CMIP6 data set, in particular fairly strange spiky character of the CMIP6Plus data. To illustrate, the figure below shows the transition to pasture (primf_to_pastr + primn_to_pastr + secdf_to_pastr + secdn_to_pastr + urban_to_pastr + c3ann_to_pastr + c4ann_to_pastr + c3per_to_pastr + c4per_to_pastr + c3nfx_to_pastr + range_to_pastr + pltns_to_pastr) As evident, these transition rates -- and their time variability -- are much higher in CMIP6plus compared to CMIP6, starting around 1990. There are also significant strange spikes at the boundaries of the 1950 decade. The next figure shows transitions from pasture (pastr_to_secdf + pastr_to_secdn + pastr_to_urban + pastr_to_c3ann + pastr_to_c4ann + pastr_to_c3per + pastr_to_c4per + pastr_to_c3nfx + pastr_to_range + pastr_to_pltns) that shows the same spiky behavior, and significant increase of transition rates in later decades. I would be grateful for comments on this change from earlier data set; in particular, the spikes at the beginning and the end of 1950 decade. Also, should we expect all transition rates to increase in the later decades in CMIP6plus data set compared to CMIP6? |
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Thanks for the feedback @slm7826 Re the time units: The reason we changed this was that, with the "years since...", the data would not load cleanly with xarray. This is, arguably, a bug in xarray although it's not completely clearly because, as you say, "years since..." is not a cf-compliant unit. That said, writing a dataset that can't be read with such a standard tool seemed a terrible idea, so we switched the units.
I think this is a misreading of the point of the calendars. The time bounds of the dataset make clear that the transitions happen between Jan 1 of year X and Jan 1 of year X + 1. The calendar just tells the user what calendar the data is in, and changing to another calendar is a trivial exercise given this state of the data (I don't think any calendar translator would do anything other than put this data on 1 Jan of every year, although I can see it is perhaps not totally unambiguous). However, given your confusion, this is probably something we should include once we get our user guidance notes going (x-ref #118 (comment)). A line like the following may be enough to clarify, but please suggest any adjustments you would like, "The data is annual. We use a noleap calendar for simplicity and for cf-compliance. However, don't let that confuse you, in all calendars, the transitions should be applied between 1 Jan of year X and 1 Jan of year X + 1." |
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@lchini ping! |
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CMIP6Plus data set, v20241002: Time units
First off, I'd like to thank the authors of this data set for providing the data for examination and review.
One thing that bothers me a bit is the units of the time axis: In this data set it is set to “days since 0850-01-01 00:00:00”, in NOLEAP calendar. If taken on its face value, it would mean that the models need to apply land use every 365 days. GIven that the historical and future simulations are typically done using calendars other than "NOLEAP", it would result in significant shift in application dates with respect to the year boundaries.
I think CMIP6 data set used "years since ...", and this seems to be more logical choice in this case, clearly indicating that the data are annual. I know that CF conventions does not recommend [although does not prohibit] using "years" as time units, but perhaps in this case it is justified.
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