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main2.jl
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main2.jl
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using LinearAlgebra, Statistics, Plots, Distributions, StatsBase, DelimitedFiles, CSV, Tables, Random, BenchmarkTools
using XGBoost
#using BayesianOptimization, GaussianProcesses, Distributions
using Flux
using BSON: @load
using StatsBase
using Suppressor
#BLAS.set_num_threads(1)
mutable struct exp4
policy_list::Vector{Function}
policy_probs::Vector{Float64}
#policy::Function
end
include("rollouts.jl")
include("policies.jl")
include("opt_alloc.jl")
include("coordinated_utilities.jl")
include("glm.jl")
include("mcmc.jl")
include("vb.jl")
include("gp.jl")
include("mab.jl")
#cnst mts = MersenneTwister.(1:Threads.nthreads())
# Parameters
const context_dim = 2
const context_mean = 0
const context_sd = .5
# set to false for gp
const context_constant = true
const obs_sd = .5
const bandit_count = 3
const bandit_prior_mean = 0
const bandit_prior_sd = 16
# MCMC parameters
const prior_mean = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
const prior_cov = diagm(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
const proposal_sd = .1
const n_burn = 200
const n_dup = 10
# Multi Action
const multi_count = 10
# SIMULATION HORIZON
const T = 100
# NUMBER OF GLOBAL SIMULATION EPISODES (PER INDEX JOB)
const n_episodes = 1
# DISCOUNT PARAMETER
const discount = .98
# PARAMETER FOR EPSILON GREEDY POLICY
const epsilon = .4
const decreasing = true
# PARAMETERS FOR ALL ROLLOUT METHODS
const rollout_length = 50# 20
const n_rollouts = 10000 # 100000
# PARAMETERS FOR SPSA OPTIMIZATION METHOD
const n_opt_rollouts = 15000# 10000hh0
const n_spsa_iter = 20000
## PARAMETERS FOR GRID OPTIMIZATION METHOD
const n_grid_iter = 7
const grid_ratio = 2
const grid_num = 6
const int_length = 2
const n_grid_rollouts = 50
### NON ADAPTIVE GRID (n_opt_rollouts used for opt rollouts)
#grid_margin_1 = [0, .5, 1, 2, 4]
#grid_margin_2 = [0, .5, 1, 2]
#grid_margin_3 = [.5, 1, 2]
grid_margin_1 = [0., 1.]
grid_margin_2 = [0., 1.]
grid_margin_3 = [1., 2.]
### NON STATIONARY PARAMETERS
const delta = 1.
### GP PARAMETERS
const kernel_scale = 10
const kernel_bandwidth = 10
### MAB PARAMETERS
const a_beta_prior = .5
const b_beta_prior = .5
### VB PARAMETER
const vb_rollout_mult = 5
const vb_rollout_tol = .00001
const vb_policy_tol = .01
### ADAPTIVE PARAM
const expected_regret_thresh = .0001
const action_expected_regret_thresh = .0001
const dp_expected_regret_thresh = .0001
## DP PARAM
const dp_rollout_count = 3000
const dp_within_rollout_count = 300
const num_round = 3
const dp_length = 3
const param = ["max_depth" => 3,
"eta" => .5,
"objective" => "reg:squarederror",
"verbosity" => 0]
const metrics = ["rmse"]
## SIMULATOR FUNCTION
const idx = Base.parse(Int, ENV["SLURM_ARRAY_TASK_ID"])
Random.seed!(idx + 42)
neural_net_list = []
scale_list = []
multi_neural_net_list = []
multi_scale_list = []
bern_neural_net_list = []
bern_scale_list = []
use_nn = false
### UNKNOWN CONTEXT DIST
const use_context_prior = true
const est_context_var_noise = .5
const ν = 2 / est_context_var_noise^2 + context_dim - context_constant + 3
const Ψ = context_sd^2 * (ν - context_dim - context_constant - 1) * Matrix(1.0I, context_dim - context_constant, context_dim - context_constant)
const λ = 1
const μ = zeros(context_dim -context_constant)
function generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
if context_constant
return [1; context_mean .+ context_sd .* randn(context_dim - 1)]
else
return context_mean .+ context_sd .* randn(context_dim)
end
end
function generate_context_mvn(context_dim, context_mean, context_cov, context_constant)
if context_constant
return [1; rand(MvNormal(context_mean, context_cov))]
else
return rand(MvNormal(context_mean, context_cov))
end
end
function generate_context_mvn(sampler, context_constant)
if context_constant
return [1; rand(sampler)]
else
return rand(sampler)
end
end
if use_context_prior
const ground_truth_context_covs = rand(InverseWishart(ν, Ψ), n_episodes)
const ground_truth_context_means = [rand(MvNormal(zeros(context_dim - context_constant), iw ./ λ)) for iw in ground_truth_context_covs]
const ground_truth_context = [[generate_context_mvn(MvNormal(ground_truth_context_means[i], ground_truth_context_covs[i]), context_constant) for t in 1:T] for i in 1:n_episodes]
else
const ground_truth_context = [[generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant) for t in 1:T] for i in 1:n_episodes]
end
#GC.enable_logging(true)
## NEED TO DECIDE WHETHER TRUE IS USED
if use_nn
for i in 1:T
@load "/hpc/home/jml165/rl/valneuralnets/valnn_$(i).bson" m
scales = CSV.File("/hpc/home/jml165/rl/neuralnetscales/scales_$(i).csv", header = false) |> Tables.matrix
push!(neural_net_list, m)
push!(scale_list, scales)
end
for i in 1:T
@load "/hpc/home/jml165/rl/multivalneuralnets/multivalnn_$(i).bson" m
scales = CSV.File("/hpc/home/jml165/rl/multineuralnetscales/multiscales_$(i).csv", header = false) |> Tables.matrix
push!(multi_neural_net_list, m)
push!(multi_scale_list, scales)
end
for i in 1:T
@load "/hpc/home/jml165/rl/bernvalneuralnets/bernvalnn_$(i).bson" m
scales = CSV.File("/hpc/home/jml165/rl/bernneuralnetscales/bernscales_$(i).csv", header = false) |> Tables.matrix
push!(bern_neural_net_list, m)
push!(bern_scale_list, scales)
end
end
upper_triangular_vec = function(M)
d = size(M)[1]
output = zeros(convert(Int64,(d+1) * d / 2))
count = 1
for i in 1:d
for j in i:d
output[count] = M[i, j]
count += 1
end
end
return output
end
const ground_truth_param = bandit_prior_mean .+ bandit_prior_sd .* randn(bandit_count, context_dim, n_episodes)
const ground_truth_obs = obs_sd .* randn(T, n_episodes)
const ground_truth_obs_bern = rand(T, n_episodes)
function update_context_posterior!(context, posterior)
if context_constant
posterior[4] .+= (posterior[2] / (1 + posterior[2])) .* ((context[2:end] .- posterior[1]) * (context[2:end] .- posterior[1])')
posterior[1] .*= (posterior[2] / (1 + posterior[2]))
posterior[1] .+= context[2:end] ./ (1 + posterior[2])
posterior[2] += 1
posterior[3] += 1
else
posterior[4] .+= (posterior[2] / (1 + posterior[2])) .* ((context .- posterior[1]) * (context .- posterior[1])')
posterior[1] .*= (posterior[2] / (1 + posterior[2]))
posterior[1] .+= context ./ (1 + posterior[2])
posterior[2] += 1
posterior[3] += 1
end
end
function ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep,action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
#context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
context = ground_truth_context[ep][t]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
#true_expected_rewards = bandit_posterior_means * context
action = action_function(ep, t, T, bandit_count, context, bandit_posterior_means, bandit_posterior_covs, discount, epsilon, rollout_length, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim)
true_expected_reward = true_expected_rewards[action]
EPREWARDS[t] = true_expected_reward
EPOPTREWARDS[t] = maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
obs = ground_truth_obs[t, ep] + true_expected_reward
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :]
CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = inv(context * context' / obs_sd^2 + old_precision)
bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context) / obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[action, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[action,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for ", String(Symbol(action_function)))
flush(stdout)
#GC.gc()
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function ep_contextual_bandit_simulator_context_mvn(ep,action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
context_posterior = [copy(μ), copy(λ), copy(ν), copy(Ψ)]
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
#context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
context = ground_truth_context[ep][t]
update_context_posterior!(context, context_posterior)
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
#true_expected_rewards = bandit_posterior_means * context
action = action_function(ep, t, T, bandit_count, context, bandit_posterior_means, bandit_posterior_covs, discount, epsilon, rollout_length, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_posterior)
true_expected_reward = true_expected_rewards[action]
EPREWARDS[t] = true_expected_reward
EPOPTREWARDS[t] = maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
obs = ground_truth_obs[t, ep] + true_expected_reward
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :]
CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = inv(context * context' / obs_sd^2 + old_precision)
bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context) / obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[action, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[action, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[action,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for ", String(Symbol(action_function)))
flush(stdout)
#GC.gc()
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function contextual_bandit_simulator(action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon)
REWARDS = zeros(T, n_episodes)
OPTREWARDS = zeros(T, n_episodes)
ep_count = 1
## USING BAYESIAN FORMULATION FOR FAIR COMPARISON
#global_bandit_param = [1 0; 0 1; 2 -1]
#threadreps = zeros(Threads.nthreads())
for ep in 1:n_episodes
#global_bandit_param = rand(Normal(bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd), bandit_count, context_dim)
global_bandit_param = ground_truth_param[:, :, ep]
if use_context_prior
EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS = ep_contextual_bandit_simulator_context_mvn(ep,action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
else
EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS = ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep,action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
end
ep_count += 1
REWARDS[:, ep] = EPREWARDS
OPTREWARDS[:, ep] = EPOPTREWARDS
end
#print(threadreps)
return REWARDS', OPTREWARDS'
end
function multi_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep,action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = zeros(multi_count)
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
#true_expected_rewards = bandit_posterior_means * context
action = action_function(t, T, bandit_count, context, bandit_posterior_means, bandit_posterior_covs, discount, epsilon, rollout_length, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim)
actions[m] = action
true_expected_reward = true_expected_rewards[action]
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_reward
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_reward
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for ", String(Symbol(action_function)))
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function coord_greedy_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
agree_count = 0
base_count = 0
for t in 1:T
remains = []
if decreasing
thresh = epsilon / t
else
thresh = epsilon
end
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
#true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
posterior_expected_rewards = bandit_posterior_means * context
if rand() > thresh
actions[m] = findmax(posterior_expected_rewards)[2]
else
push!(remains, m)
end
#true_expected_reward = true_expected_rewards[action]
#EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_reward
#EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_reward
end
if length(remains) > 0
post_covs_copy = copy(bandit_posterior_covs)
remain_contexts = contexts[remains, :]
for m in 1:multi_count
if ! (m in remains)
m_context = contexts[m, :]
post_covs_copy[actions[m], :, :] = inv(inv(post_covs_copy[actions[m], :, :]) + m_context * m_context' / obs_sd^2)
end
end
if length(remains) == 1
actions[remains[1]] = findmax([logdet(I + post_covs_copy[i, :, :] * contexts[remains[1], :] * contexts[remains[1], :]' / obs_sd^2) for i = 1:bandit_count])[2]
else
print("\n")
print(post_covs_copy)
print("\n")
print(remain_contexts ./ obs_sd)
print("\n")
flush(stdout)
alloc = KL_optimal_allocations(post_covs_copy, remain_contexts ./ obs_sd)
remain_actions = [findmax(alloc[i, :])[2] for i = 1:length(remains)]
for i in 1:length(remains)
actions[remains[i]] = remain_actions[i]
end
end
end
# if length(remains) > 0
# max_val = 0
# free_actions = copy(actions)
# max_tup = zeros(length(remains))
# for tup in CartesianIndices(ntuple(d->1:bandit_count, length(remains)))
# for i in 1:length(remains)
# free_actions[remains[i]] = tup[i]
# end
# eeg = expected_entropy_gain(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, free_actions)
# if eeg > max_val
# max_val = eeg
# max_tup .= free_actions[remains]
# end
# end
# sss_actions = sequential_max_entropy(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, actions)
# sss_actions = sss(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, sss_actions, remains, 1000, 0)
#
# actions[remains] .= max_tup
# agree_count += (actions == sss_actions)
# base_count += 1
# actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, sss_actions)
#
# end
#
for m in 1:multi_count
#print(actions)
#print("\n")
action = actions[m]
context = contexts[m, :]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_rewards[action]
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obs = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for coord eps greedy")
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS, agree_count, base_count
end
function approx_coord_greedy_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
agree_count = 0
base_count = 0
for t in 1:T
remains = []
if decreasing
thresh = epsilon / t
else
thresh = epsilon
end
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
#true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
posterior_expected_rewards = bandit_posterior_means * context
if rand() > thresh
actions[m] = findmax(posterior_expected_rewards)[2]
else
push!(remains, m)
end
#true_expected_reward = true_expected_rewards[action]
#EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_reward
#EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_reward
end
#if length(remains) > 0
# post_covs_copy = copy(bandit_posterior_covs)
#
# remain_contexts = contexts[remains, :]
# for m in 1:multi_count
# if ! (m in remains)
# m_context = contexts[m, :]
# post_covs_copy[actions[m], :, :] = inv(inv(post_covs_copy[actions[m], :, :]) + m_context * m_context' / obs_sd^2)
# end
# end
#
# if length(remains) == 1
# actions[remains[1]] = findmax([logdet(I + post_covs_copy[i, :, :] * contexts[remains[1], :] * contexts[remains[1], :]' / obs_sd^2) for i = 1:bandit_count])[2]
# else
#
# print("\n")
# print(post_covs_copy)
# print("\n")
# print(remain_contexts ./ obs_sd)
# print("\n")
# flush(stdout)
# alloc = KL_optimal_allocations(post_covs_copy, remain_contexts ./ obs_sd)
# remain_actions = [findmax(alloc[i, :])[2] for i = 1:length(remains)]
# for i in 1:length(remains)
# actions[remains[i]] = remain_actions[i]
# end
# end
#end
if length(remains) > 0
#max_val = 0
#free_actions = copy(actions)
#max_tup = zeros(length(remains))
#for tup in CartesianIndices(ntuple(d->1:bandit_count, length(remains)))
# for i in 1:length(remains)
# free_actions[remains[i]] = tup[i]
# end
# eeg = expected_entropy_gain(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, free_actions)
# if eeg > max_val
# max_val = eeg
# max_tup .= free_actions[remains]
# end
#end
sa_actions = sequential_max_entropy(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, actions)
sa_actions = sa(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, sa_actions, remains, 10000, 10, .99)
#actions = se_actions
#agree_count += (actions == sss_actions)
#base_count += 1
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, sa_actions)
end
for m in 1:multi_count
#print(actions)
#print("\n")
action = actions[m]
context = contexts[m, :]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_rewards[action]
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obs = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for coord eps greedy")
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS, agree_count, base_count
end
function coord_thompson_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
end
# coordinated action selection
curr_actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
max_actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
max_gain = 0
for n in 1:thompson_count
thompson_samples = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
for bandit in 1:bandit_count
thompson_samples[bandit, :] = rand(MvNormal((bandit_posterior_means[bandit,:]), (bandit_posterior_covs[bandit,:,:])))
end
for m in 1:multi_count
curr_actions[m] = findmax(thompson_samples * contexts[m, :])[2]
end
curr_gain = expected_entropy_gain(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, curr_actions)
print("\n")
print(curr_gain)
print("\n")
flush(stdout)
if curr_gain > max_gain
max_gain = curr_gain
max_actions = curr_actions
end
end
actions .= max_actions
for m in 1:multi_count
#print(actions)
#print("\n")
action = actions[m]
context = contexts[m, :]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_rewards[action]
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obs = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for coord eps greedy")
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function coord_thompson_2_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
end
# coordinated action selection
thompson_samples = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
for bandit in 1:bandit_count
thompson_samples[bandit, :] = rand(MvNormal((bandit_posterior_means[bandit,:]), (bandit_posterior_covs[bandit,:,:])))
end
actions = constrained_thompson_actions(100000, thompson_samples, bandit_posterior_means, bandit_posterior_covs, contexts)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, actions)
for m in 1:multi_count
#print(actions)
#print("\n")
action = actions[m]
context = contexts[m, :]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_rewards[action]
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obs = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for coord eps greedy")
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function coord_thompson_3_ep_contextual_bandit_simulator(ep, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon, global_bandit_param)
bandit_posterior_means = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs = zeros(bandit_count, context_dim, context_dim)
bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
true_bandit_param = copy(global_bandit_param)
EPREWARDS = zeros(T)
EPOPTREWARDS = zeros(T)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, zeros(multi_count))
contexts = zeros(multi_count, context_dim)
obss = zeros(multi_count)
for i in 1:bandit_count
bandit_posterior_means[i, :] = repeat([bandit_prior_mean], context_dim)
bandit_posterior_covs[i, :, :] = Diagonal(repeat([bandit_prior_sd^2], context_dim))
end
for t in 1:T
for m in 1:multi_count
context = generate_context(context_dim, context_mean, context_sd, context_constant)
contexts[m, :] = context
end
# coordinated action selection
thompson_samples = zeros(multi_count, bandit_count, context_dim)
for m in 1:multi_count
for bandit in 1:bandit_count
thompson_samples[m, bandit, :] = rand(MvNormal((bandit_posterior_means[bandit,:]), (bandit_posterior_covs[bandit,:,:])))
end
end
#actions = constrained_thompson_actions(100000, thompson_samples, bandit_posterior_means, bandit_posterior_covs, contexts)
#actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, actions)
for m in 1:multi_count
actions[m] = findmax(thompson_samples[m, :, :] * contexts[m, :])[2]
end
thompson_expected_rewards = [dot(bandit_posterior_means[actions[m], :], contexts[m, :]) for m = 1:multi_count]
restrictions = convert(Matrix{Int64}, zeros(multi_count, bandit_count))
for m in 1:multi_count
for b in 1: bandit_count
if dot(bandit_posterior_means[b, :], contexts[m, :]) >= thompson_expected_rewards[m]
restrictions[m, b] = 1
end
end
end
if sum(restrictions) > multi_count
#alloc = KL_optimal_allocations_with_restrictions(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, restrictions)
#actions = [findmax(alloc[i, :])[2] for i = 1:multi_count]
actions = sa_restricted(bandit_posterior_covs, contexts, actions, restrictions, 50000, 10, .99)
actions = convert(Vector{Int64}, actions)
end
for m in 1:multi_count
#print(actions)
#print("\n")
action = actions[m]
context = contexts[m, :]
true_expected_rewards = true_bandit_param * context
EPREWARDS[t] += true_expected_rewards[action]
EPOPTREWARDS[t] += maximum(true_expected_rewards)
#obs = randn() * sqrt(obs_sd^2 + dot(context, bandit_posterior_covs[action,:,:],context)) + true_expected_reward
#obs = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
obss[m] = randn() * obs_sd + true_expected_rewards[action]
end
for act in 1:bandit_count
action_obss = obss[actions .== act]
action_contexts = contexts[actions .== act, :]
old_cov = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]
#CovCon = old_cov * context ./ obs_sd
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = old_cov - CovCon * CovCon' ./ (1 + dot(context, old_cov, context))
#bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
#bandit_posterior_means[act, :] = (bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :]) * (old_cov \ (bandit_posterior_means[act,:]) + context * obs / obs_sd^2)
#
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = inv(inv(old_cov) + action_contexts' * action_contexts ./ obs_sd^2)
bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] = ((bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]) + bandit_posterior_covs[act,:,:]')/2
bandit_posterior_means[act, :, :] = bandit_posterior_covs[act, :, :] * (old_cov \ bandit_posterior_means[act, :] + action_contexts' * action_obss ./ obs_sd^2)
end
#println("Ep: ", ep, " - ", t, " of ", T, " for coord eps greedy")
#flush(stdout)
end
return EPREWARDS, EPOPTREWARDS
end
function multi_contextual_bandit_simulator(action_function, T, rollout_length, n_episodes, n_rollouts, n_opt_rollouts, context_dim, context_mean,
context_sd, obs_sd, bandit_count, bandit_prior_mean, bandit_prior_sd, discount, epsilon)
REWARDS = zeros(T, n_episodes)
OPTREWARDS = zeros(T, n_episodes)
ep_count = 1
## USING BAYESIAN FORMULATION FOR FAIR COMPARISON
#global_bandit_param = [1 0; 0 1; 2 -1]