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Conservatives Agricultural Policy Recommendation System (APRS)

Traditional agricultural policies are often reactive, responding to market shifts and environmental changes with a delayed and sometimes inadequate approach. This project aims to address the critical need for an innovative solution that leverages advanced forecasting techniques to provide real-time insights into the upcoming trends in agricultural produce demand and supply. By doing so, the system will assist policymakers, farmers, and other stakeholders in proactively shaping policies that align with the evolving dynamics of the agricultural landscape. The Conservatives Agricultural Policy Recommendation System (APRS) is an innovative decision support system designed to address the complex challenges faced by modern agriculture. By leveraging advanced forecasting techniques, the APRS provides real-time insights into the demand and supply dynamics of agricultural produce, empowering stakeholders to make informed and proactive policy decisions. The successful deployment of an APRS grounded in demand-supply forecasts will not only enhance the efficiency and resilience of agricultural systems but also promote sustainable practices and contribute to the overall growth and stability of the agricultural economy.

Objectives

  • Develop an innovative APRS grounded in demand-supply forecasts.
  • Empower stakeholders with real-time insights for policy formulation and implementation.
  • Foster sustainable agricultural practices and promote economic growth and stability.

Potential Use Cases:

  1. Government and Policy Making: Government agencies can formulate evidence-based policies with targeted subsidy allocation.
  2. Supply Chain Management: Agribusinesses optimize distribution networks and inventory management for efficient supply chains.
  3. Financial Institutions: Financial institutions use APRS insights for assessing investment viability and making informed lending decisions.
  4. International Development Organizations: Organizations enhance food security programs by using APRS insights for targeted interventions.

Novel Machine Learning Techniques

The APRS leverages novel machine learning techniques, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and several decision trees to perform univariate and mulivariate forecasting, to analyze historical data, predict future trends, and recommend policy interventions. These models are then orchestrated on a langchain environment to create a funnel mechanism that leads to policy generation for the given input.

Architecture-ASPR

Project Structure The project is organized into the following components:

  1. Scripts: Contains Python scripts for various tasks, including data preprocessing, model training, and application deployment.
  2. Data: Stores datasets used for training and evaluation.
  3. Models: Stores trained machine learning models and associated files.
  4. Documentation: Contains project documentation, including README files and technical specifications.

Instructions to Run

To run the Conservatives APRS, follow these steps:

  1. Install dependencies by running scripts/install_dependencies.py.
  2. Start the application by executing scripts/launch_app.py.
  3. Access the application through the provided URL or local host. Ensure that you have the necessary permissions and resources to execute the scripts and deploy the application.

Dataset Google Drive - Link

App Demo Link - https://policyrecommendation-cloudera.streamlit.app/