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Incorporate cash flow into pro forma calculations #1

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pksohn opened this issue Feb 1, 2017 · 2 comments
Open

Incorporate cash flow into pro forma calculations #1

pksohn opened this issue Feb 1, 2017 · 2 comments

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@pksohn
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pksohn commented Feb 1, 2017

As an urbansim Developer object, I want to be able to make a decision on whether to build a project or not based on an internal rate of return or (given a discount rate) a net present value.

We should also expose the IRR/NPV figure to the end user.

@pksohn pksohn changed the title Cash flow incorporated into pro forma calculations Incorporate cash flow into pro forma calculations Feb 1, 2017
@pksohn pksohn modified the milestone: v0.3.0 Feb 1, 2017
@pksohn pksohn modified the milestones: v0.3.0, UDST v0.1 Mar 10, 2017
@pksohn
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pksohn commented Mar 21, 2017

After doing some further thinking and reading, I think we need to discuss this with someone more well-versed in real estate. Paul and I are workign on this, but just wanted to make a note here. There are a lot of specific pieces we could add to feasibility analyses, including:

  • Inflation
  • Financing costs / leveraged vs unleveraged returns / loan-to-X ratios
  • After-tax revenue
  • Calculation of IRR / NPV at a certain IRR
  • Sales revenue vs. rental revenue
  • Project length
  • Etc.

The question is, which of these and other features should we prioritize? Which will make the biggest difference for generating more realistic results on an aggregate scale?

@pksohn
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pksohn commented Mar 21, 2017

We should prioritize pro forma improvements that are endogenous to the urbansim model system, i.e. take inputs from other urbansim models rather than user-provided.

@pksohn pksohn removed this from the UDST v0.1 milestone May 2, 2017
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