README.md

bayesian-football-match-prediction

Using Bayesian Inference to predict football match wins.

There is also a notebook on non-bayesian methods for comparison. Using the tradiitional Logistic Regression, Random Forrest, XGBoost, CatBoost and SVC.

Medium article.

Full Posterior Samples

• posterior_samples.RData contains the MCMC samples of the posterior distribution.

It can be loaded up into R.

Traceplots

Moving Averages Plots