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Improve industrial electricity demand calculation #63

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timtroendle opened this issue Apr 14, 2021 · 8 comments · May be fixed by #257
Open

Improve industrial electricity demand calculation #63

timtroendle opened this issue Apr 14, 2021 · 8 comments · May be fixed by #257
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@hey-mathis
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data enhancement New feature or request Industry Industrial energy demand

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@timtroendle
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I copied this from timtroendle/possibility-for-electricity-autarky#1, opened by @brynpickering .

Industry electricity demand is currently calculated as follows:

European quantity of manufactured goods per sub-class -> plant quantity of manufactured goods based on its relative contribution to sub-class emissions -> plant electricity consumption based on its energy input per unit weight of manufactured good. This is done for the three main emitting industries: ferrous metals, chloralkali, and Aluminium.

The annual energy consumption for industry, broken down into industry subclasses and by input energy source, is published by Eurostat for all European countries.

I would propose to keep the relative quantity of manufactured goods to be based on annual emissions, but equate that to national statistics. Annual emissions scraped from the EU-ETS register (e.g. this plant) can then be used to have plant contributions be specific to the model year. So the workflow would look as follows:

National industry energy consumption per sub-class -> plant energy consumption based on its relative contribution to sub-class emissions. This would be done for all industry sub-classes.

From a first pass of the EU-ETS data, I have >5000 sites mapped, which gives a good coverage of industry in all participating countries. Non-participating countries (Switzerland, Western Balkans) could just use the national-level data from Eurostat, although Switzerland has its registry that I'm looking into how one could access...
@timtroendle timtroendle added enhancement New feature or request data labels Apr 14, 2021
@timtroendle
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For that to happen, we'd need to move calculation of industry demand, and residential demand between units into this repository. Currently it's taken from the results of this study: https://github.com/timtroendle/possibility-for-electricity-autarky.

Moving the demand calculation into euro-calliope makes sense as it increases the flexibility.

@brynpickering brynpickering mentioned this issue Apr 26, 2021
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@brynpickering
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This should also be updated to look beyond current industry demand and consider the possibility of a decarbonised industry in future.

This means working out what current energy demand is per industry sub-sector, allocating it to processes, and then recalculating demand based on updates to those processes (electrification, hydrogen as a reduction agent in steel-making, methanol/naphtha as input streams to plastics production). This has been implemented in our sector-coupled sibling here

@brynpickering brynpickering mentioned this issue Apr 26, 2021
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@timtroendle
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timtroendle commented Apr 26, 2021 •
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What you describe sounds like a separate issue to me. Or do we need to solve both at the same time?

@brynpickering
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Yes, sorry, although it is closely linked to the issue title. This issue should really be split in two: attributing demand to industry (which can be done based on Eurostat for electricity or by inferring a decarbonised future) and regionalising that demand based on sub-sectoral demands and EU-ETS/Eurostat regional industry data. The initial comment deals with both, and what I described earlier today is specific to the former.

@timtroendle timtroendle changed the title Improve industry demand calculation Improve industrial electricity demand calculation May 4, 2021
@brynpickering brynpickering mentioned this issue May 4, 2021
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@timtroendle
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Blocked by #100.

@timtroendle
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Steps to be done:

  1. Use subsector annual demand from Get annual energy balances from Eurostat #100.
  2. Use emission data per plant from EU-ETS (taken from HotMaps, to be defined how to do that precisely).
  3. Use emissions as a proxy for energy demand for subsectors covered by EU-ETS.

@brynpickering
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More on processing Hotmaps emissions data here

@timtroendle timtroendle added this to the 1.1 milestone May 5, 2021
@timtroendle timtroendle removed this from the 1.1 milestone Aug 4, 2021
@brynpickering brynpickering mentioned this issue May 16, 2022
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hey-mathis added a commit to hey-mathis/euro-calliope that referenced this issue Mar 9, 2023
@hey-mathis
Compute ind elec load from emissions (fixes calliope-project#63)
8042892
hey-mathis added a commit to hey-mathis/euro-calliope that referenced this issue Mar 21, 2023
@hey-mathis
Compute ind elec load from emissions (fixes calliope-project#63)
5aa42f6
@hey-mathis hey-mathis linked a pull request Mar 22, 2023 that will close this issue
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@timtroendle timtroendle added Industry Industrial energy demand and removed annual-demand labels Mar 8, 2024
@brynpickering
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Processing HotMaps data implemented here. Mapping between JRC-IDEES and Eurostat industry subsector names here

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data enhancement New feature or request Industry Industrial energy demand
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Updates computation of industrial electricity load (Fixes issue #63) hey-mathis/euro-calliope
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