Dail_Mad_ext.bib

@article{alho:1990,
 author               = {Alho, J. M.},
 journal              = {Biometrics},
 pages                = {623--635},
 publisher            = {JSTOR},
 title                = {Logistic regression in capture-recapture models},
 year                 = {1990},
 }


@article{alldredge_etal:2007auk,
 title                = {Time-of-detection method for estimating abundance from point-count surveys},
 author               = {Alldredge, M. W. and Pollock, K. H. and Simons, T. R. and Collazo, J. A. and Shriner, S. A. and Johnson, D H},
 journal              = {The Auk},
 volume               = 124,
 number               = 2,
 pages                = {653--664},
 year                 = 2007
}


@article{alldredge_etal:2007jwm,
  title               = {A field evaluation of distance measurement error in auditory avian point count surveys},
  author              = {Alldredge, M. W. and Simons, T. R. and Pollock, K. H.},
  journal             = {The Journal of Wildlife Management},
  volume              = {71},
  number              = {8},
  pages               = {2759--2766},
  year                = {2007},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{alldredge_etal:2007ea,
  title               = {Factors affecting aural detections of songbirds},
  author              = {Alldredge, M. W. and Simons, T. R. and Pollock, K. H.},
  journal             = {Ecological Applications},
  volume              = {17},
  number              = {3},
  pages               = {948--955},
  year                = {2007},
  publisher           = {Eco Soc America}
}


@incollection{barker_sauer:1992,
  title               = {Modeling population change from time series data},
  author              = {Barker, R. J. and Sauer, J. R.},
  booktitle           = {Wildlife 2001: populations},
  editor              = {D. R. McCullough and R. Barrett},
  pages               = {182--194},
  year                = {1992},
  publisher           = {Elsevier},
  address             = {New York}
}


@incollection{barker_sauer:1995,
  title               = {Statistical aspects of point count sampling},
  author              = {Barker, R. J. and Sauer, J. R.},
  booktitle           = {Monitoring Bird Populations by Point Counts},
  editor              = {CJ Ralph and JR Sauer and S. Droege},
  publisher           = {US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service General Technical Report PSW-GTR-149},
  pages               = {125--130},
  year                = {1995}
}



@article{bart_etal:2004,
  title               = {Density estimation in wildlife surveys},
  author              = {Bart, J. and Droege, S. and Geissler, P. and Peterjohn, B. and Ralph, C. J.},
  journal             = {Wildlife Society Bulletin},
  volume              = {32},
  number              = {4},
  pages               = {1242--1247},
  year                = {2004},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{bart:2005,
  title               = {Monitoring the abundance of bird populations},
  author              = {Bart, J.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {122},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {15--25},
  year                = {2005},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{besbeas_etal:2002,
  title={Integrating mark--recapture--recovery and census data to estimate animal abundance and demographic parameters},
  author={Besbeas, P. and Freeman, S N and Morgan, B J T and Catchpole, E A},
  journal={Biometrics},
  volume={58},
  number={3},
  pages={540--547},
  year={2002},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{bibby_buckland:1987,
  title               = {Bias of bird census results due to detectability varying with habitat},
  author              = {Bibby, C J and Buckland, S T},
  journal             = {Acta Oecologia},
  volume              = {8},
  number              = {2},
  pages               = {103--112},
  year                = {1987}
}


@article{bjornstad_etal:1999,
  title={Spatial population dynamics: analyzing patterns and processes of population synchrony},
  author={Bj{\o}rnstad, O. N. and Ims, R. A. and Lambin, X.},
  journal={Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
  volume={14},
  number={11},
  pages={427--432},
  year={1999},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{bjornstad:2001,
  title={Cycles and synchrony: two historical experiments and one experience},
  author={Bj{\o}rnstad, O. N.},
  journal={Journal of Animal Ecology},
  volume={69},
  number={5},
  pages={869--873},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{bjornstad_grenfell:2001,
  title={Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals},
  author={Bj{\o}rnstad, O. N. and Grenfell, B. T.},
  journal={Science},
  volume={293},
  number={5530},
  pages={638--643},
  year={2001},
  publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science}
}


@article{bled_etal:2012,
 title                = {Impacts of Deepwater Horizon oil spill on avian population trends},
 author               = {Bled, F. and others},
 journal              = {Dont know},
 year                 = {2012}
}

@article{bonsall_hastings:2004,
  title={Demographic and environmental stochasticity in predator--prey metapopulation dynamics},
  author={Bonsall, M. B. and Hastings, A.},
  journal={Journal of Animal Ecology},
  volume={73},
  number={6},
  pages={1043--1055},
  year={2004},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}



@article{brooks_etal:2004,
  title={A Bayesian approach to combining animal abundance and demographic data},
  author={Brooks, SP and King, R and Morgan, BJT},
  journal={Animal Biodiversity and Conservation},
  volume={27},
  number={1},
  pages={515--529},
  year={2004}
}


@article{bulmer:1975,
  title={The statistical analysis of density dependence},
  author={Bulmer, M G},
  journal={Biometrics},
  pages={901--911},
  year={1975},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}


@article{borchers_etal:1998,
  title               = {Mark-recapture models for line transect surveys},
  author              = {Borchers, D. L. and Zucchini, W. and Fewster, R. M.},
  journal             = {Biometrics},
  pages               = {1207--1220},
  year                = {1998},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@Article{borchers:2012,
  author = 	 {Borchers, D. L.},
  title = 	 {Unknown},
  journal = 	 {Unknown},
  year = 	 {2012},
  OPTvolume = 	 {},
  OPTnumber = 	 {},
  OPTpages = 	 {},
  OPTmonth = 	 {},
  OPTnote = 	 {},
  OPTannote = 	 {}
}


@article{boulinier_etal:2001,
  title              = {Forest fragmentation and bird community dynamics: inference at regional scales},
  author             = {Boulinier, T. and Nichols, J. D. and Hines, J. E. and Sauer, J. R. and Flather, C. H. and Pollock, K. H.},
  journal            = {Ecology},
  volume             = {82},
  number             = {4},
  pages              = {1159--1169},
  year               = {2001},
  publisher          = {Eco Soc America}
}


@book{buckland_etal:2001,
 address              = {Oxford, {UK}},
 author               = {Buckland, S and Anderson, D and Burnham, K and Laake, J and Borcher, D and Thomas L},
 isbn                 = {9780198509271},
 publisher            = {Oxford University Press},
 shorttitle           = {Introduction to distance sampling},
 title                = {Introduction to distance sampling: estimating abundance of biological populations},
 year                 = {2001},
 }


@article{buckland_etal:2004,
  title={State-space models for the dynamics of wild animal populations},
  author={Buckland, S T and Newman, K B and Thomas, L. and Koesters, N B},
  journal={Ecological Modelling},
  volume={171},
  number={1},
  pages={157--175},
  year={2004},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}


@article{burnham_overton:1979,
  title               = {Robust estimation of population size when capture probabilities vary among animals},
  author              = {Burnham, K. P. and Overton, W. S.},
  journal             = {Ecology},
  volume              = {60},
  number              = {5},
  pages               = {927--936},
  year                = {1979},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@article{campbell_francis:2011,
	title = {Using stereo-microphones to evaluate observer variation in {North American Breeding Bird Survey} point counts},
	volume = {128},
	number = {2},
	journal = {The Auk},
	author = {Campbell, M. and Francis, C. M},
	year = {2011},
	pages = {303--312}
},


@article{carroll_lombard:1985,
  title               = {A note on {N} estimators for the binomial distribution},
  author              = {Carroll, R. J. and Lombard, F.},
  journal             = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  pages               = {423--426},
  year                = {1985},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@article{chandler_etal:2009,
  title               = {Scrub-shrub bird habitat associations at multiple spatial scales in beaver meadows in {Massachusetts}},
  author              = {Chandler, R. B. and King, D. I. and DeStefano, S.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {126},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {186--197},
  year                = {2009},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}

@article{chandler_etal:2011,
 author               = {Chandler, R and Royle, J and King, D},
 journal              = {Ecology},
 pages                = {1429--1435},
 publisher            = {Eco Soc America},
 title                = {{Inference about density and temporary emigration in unmarked populations}},
 volume               = {92},
 year                 = {2011},
 }


@article{clark_bjornstad:2004,
  title={Population time series: process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states},
  author={Clark, J. S. and Bj{\o}rnstad, O. N.},
  journal={Ecology},
  volume={85},
  number={11},
  pages={3140--3150},
  year={2004},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@book{cochran:2007,
 title                = {Sampling techniques},
 author               = {Cochran, W. G.},
 year                 = {2007},
 publisher            = {Wiley-India}
}

@incollection{confer_etal:2011,
  title               = {Golden-winged warbler (\textit{Vermivora chrysoptera})},
  author              = {Confer, J. L. and Hartman, P. and Roth, A.},
  booktitle           = {The Birds of North America Online},
  editor              = {A. Poole},
  publisher           = {Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology},
  address             = {Ithaca, New York},
  year                = {2011}
}

@article{cook_jacobson:1979,
  title               = {A design for estimating visibility bias in aerial surveys},
  author              = {Cook, R. D. and Jacobson, J. O.},
  journal             = {Biometrics},
  pages               = {735--742},
  year                = {1979},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@article{dail_madsen:2011,
 author               = {Dail, D and Madsen, L},
 journal              = {Biometrics},
 month                = {jun},
 number               = {2},
 pages                = {577--87},
 title                = {{Models for estimating abundance from repeated counts of an open metapopulation.}},
 volume               = {67},
 year                 = {2011},
}


@article{dennis_taper:1994,
  title={Density dependence in time series observations of natural populations: estimation and testing},
  author={Dennis, B. and Taper, M. L.},
  journal={Ecological Monographs},
  volume={64},
  number={2},
  pages={205--224},
  year={1994},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@article{dennis_etal:2006,
  title={Estimating density dependence, process noise, and observation error},
  author={Dennis, B. and Ponciano, J. M. and Lele, S. R. and Taper, M. L. and Staples, D. F.},
  journal={Ecological Monographs},
  volume={76},
  number={3},
  pages={323--341},
  year={2006},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@article{diefenbach_etal:2003,
  title               = {Variability in grassland bird counts related to observer differences and species detection rates},
  author              = {Diefenbach, D. R. and Brauning, D. W. and Mattice, J. A. and Thompson III, F R},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {120},
  number              = {4},
  pages               = {1168--1179},
  year                = {2003},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{devalpine_hastings:2002,
  title={Fitting population models incorporating process noise and observation error},
  author={de Valpine, P. and Hastings, A.},
  journal={Ecological Monographs},
  volume={72},
  number={1},
  pages={57--76},
  year={2002},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@article{diefenbach_etal:2007,
  title               = {Incorporating availability for detection in estimates of bird abundance},
  author              = {Diefenbach, D. R. and Marshall, M. R. and Mattice, J. A. and Brauning, D. W. and Johnson, D H},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {124},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {96--106},
  year                = {2007},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{efford_dawson:2009,
  title               = {Effect of distance-related heterogeneity on population size estimates from point counts},
  author              = {Efford, M. G. and Dawson, D. K.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {126},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {100--111},
  year                = {2009},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{farnsworth_etal:2002,
 author               = {Farnsworth, G L and Pollock, K H and Nichols, J D and Simons, T R and E., Hines J and R., Sauer J},
 journal              = {The Auk},
 number               = {2},
 pages                = {414--425},
 publisher            = {Ornithological Societies North America},
 title                = {{A removal model for estimating detection probabilities from point-count surveys}},
 volume               = {119},
 year                 = {2002},
}


@article{fiske_chandler:2011,
  title               = {unmarked: An {R} package for fitting hierarchical models of wildlife occurrence and abundance},
  author              = {Fiske, I. and Chandler, R.},
  journal             = {Journal of Statistical Software},
  volume              = {43},
  number              = {10},
  pages               = {1--23},
  year                = {2011}
}


@article{flather_sauer:1996,
  title               = {Using landscape ecology to test hypotheses about large-scale abundance patterns in migratory birds},
  author              = {Flather, C. H. and Sauer, J. R.},
  journal             = {Ecology},
  volume              = {77},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {28--35},
  year                = {1996},
  publisher           = {Eco Soc America}
}


@article{gelman_rubin:1992,
	title = {Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences},
	volume = {7},
	number = {4},
	journal = {Statistical Science},
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	pages = {457--472}
}

@article{gill_etal:2001,
  title={The buffer effect and large-scale population regulation in migratory birds},
  author={Gill, Jennifer A and Norris, Ken and Potts, Peter M and Gunnarsson, T{\'o}mas Gr{\'e}tar and Atkinson, Philip W and Sutherland, William J},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={412},
  number={6845},
  pages={436--438},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group}
}

@article{gompertz:1825,
  title={On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies},
  author={Gompertz, B.},
  journal={Philosophical transactions of the royal society of London},
  volume={115},
  pages={513--583},
  year={1825},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}


@article{griffith_etal:2010,
  title               = {Traffic effects on bird counts on {North American Breeding Bird Survey} routes},
  author              = {Griffith, E. H. and Sauer, J. R. and Royle, J. A.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {127},
  number              = {2},
  pages               = {387--393},
  year                = {2010},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@article{hanski:1998,
  title={Metapopulation dynamics},
  author={Hanski, I.},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={396},
  number={6706},
  pages={41--49},
  year={1998}
}

@article{hart_gotelli:2011,
  title={The effects of climate change on density-dependent population dynamics of aquatic invertebrates},
  author={Hart, E. M. and Gotelli, N. J.},
  journal={Oikos},
  volume={120},
  number={8},
  pages={1227--1234},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{hastings:1991,
  title={Structured models of metapopulation dynamics},
  author={Hastings, A.},
  journal={Biological Journal of the Linnean Society},
  volume={42},
  number={1-2},
  pages={57--71},
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  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{hatfield_etal:2012,
  title={Population dynamics of {Hawaiian} seabird colonies vulnerable to sea-level rise},
  author={Hatfield, J. S. and Reynolds, M. H. and Seavy, N. E. and Krause, C. M.},
  journal={Conservation Biology},
  volume={26},
  number={4},
  pages={667--678},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{hostetler_etal:2012,
  title={A cat's tale: the impact of genetic restoration on {Florida} panther population dynamics and persistence},
  author={Hostetler, J. A. and Onorato, D. P. and Jansen, D. and Oli, M. K.},
  journal={Journal of Animal Ecology},
  volume={82},
  pages={608--620},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{huggins:1989,
 author               = {Huggins, R M},
 journal              = {Biometrika},
 number               = {1},
 pages                = {133},
 publisher            = {Biometrika Trust},
 title                = {{On the statistical analysis of capture experiments}},
 volume               = {76},
 year                 = {1989},
 }


@article{jamieson_brooks:2004,
  title               = {Density dependence in {North American} ducks},
  author              = {Jamieson, L E and Brooks, S P},
  journal             = {Animal Biodiversity and Conservation},
  volume              = {27},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {113--128},
  year                = {2004}
}


@article{johnson:2008,
  title               = {In defense of indices: the case of bird surveys},
  author              = {Johnson, D. H.},
  journal             = {The Journal of Wildlife Management},
  volume              = {72},
  number              = {4},
  pages               = {857--868},
  year                = {2008},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{johnson_etal:2010,
  title               = {A Model-Based Approach for Making Ecological Inference from Distance Sampling Data},
  author              = {Johnson, D. S. and Laake, J. L. and Ver Hoef, J. M.},
  journal             = {Biometrics},
  volume              = {66},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {310--318},
  year                = {2010},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{kendall_etal:1996,
  title               = {First-time observer effects in the {North American Breeding Bird Survey}},
  author              = {Kendall, W. L. and Peterjohn, B. G. and Sauer, J. R.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  pages               = {823--829},
  year                = {1996},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@article{kery:2008,
  title               = {Estimating abundance from bird counts: binomial mixture models uncover complex covariate relationships},
  author              = {K{\'e}ry, M.},
  journal             = {The Auk},
  volume              = {125},
  number              = {2},
  pages               = {336--345},
  year                = {2008},
  publisher           = {BioOne}
}


@article{kery_schmid:2004,
  title               = {Monitoring programs need to take into account imperfect species detectability},
  author              = {K{\'e}ry, M. and Schmid, H.},
  journal             = {Basic and Applied Ecology},
  volume              = {5},
  number              = {1},
  pages               = {65--73},
  year                = {2004},
  publisher           = {Elsevier}
}


@article{kery_etal:2009,
  title               = {Trend estimation in populations with imperfect detection},
  author              = {Kery, M. and Dorazio, R. M. and Soldaat, L. and Van Strien, A. and Zuiderwijk, A. and Royle, J. A.},
  journal             = {Journal of Applied Ecology},
  volume              = {46},
  number              = {6},
  pages               = {1163--1172},
  year                = {2009},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{kot_schaffer:1986,
  title={Discrete-time growth-dispersal models},
  author={Kot, M. and Schaffer, W. M.},
  journal={Mathematical Biosciences},
  volume={80},
  number={1},
  pages={109--136},
  year={1986},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}


@article{ladeau_etal:2007,
  title               = {West Nile virus emergence and large-scale declines of North American bird populations},
  author              = {LaDeau, S. L. and Kilpatrick, A. M. and Marra, P. P.},
  journal             = {Nature},
  volume              = {447},
  number              = {7145},
  pages               = {710--713},
  year                = {2007},
  publisher           = {Nature Publishing Group}
}


@article{lele_etal:1998,
  title={Statistical analysis of population dynamics in space and time using estimating functions},
  author={Lele, S. and Taper, M. L. and Gage, S.},
  journal={Ecology},
  volume={79},
  number={5},
  pages={1489--1502},
  year={1998},
  publisher={Eco Soc America}
}


@article{link:2003,
  title               = {Nonidentifiability of Population Size from Capture-Recapture Data with Heterogeneous Detection Probabilities},
  author              = {Link, W. A.},
  journal             = {Biometrics},
  volume              = {59},
  number              = {4},
  pages               = {1123--1130},
  year                = {2003},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@book{link_barker:2010,
 address              = {London, {UK}},
 author               = {Link, William A. and Barker, Richard J.},
 isbn                 = {9780123748546},
 publisher            = {Academic Press},
 shorttitle           = {Bayesian Inference},
 title                = {Bayesian Inference: With Ecological Applications},
 year                 = {2010},
 }


@article{link_nichols:1994,
  title={On the importance of sampling variance to investigations of temporal variation in animal population size},
  author={Link, W. A. and Nichols, J. D.},
  journal={Oikos},
  volume={69},
  number={3},
  pages={539--544},
  year={1994},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}


@article{link_sauer:1998,
  title               = {Estimating population change from count data: application to the {North American Breeding Bird Survey}},
  author              = {Link, W. A. and Sauer, J. R.},
  journal             = {Ecological Applications},
  volume              = {8},
  number              = {2},
  pages               = {258--268},
  year                = {1998},
  publisher           = {Eco Soc America}
}


@article{link_sauer:2002,
  title               = {A hierarchical analysis of population change with application to Cerulean Warblers},
  author              = {Link, W. A. and Sauer, J. R.},
  journal             = {Ecology},
  volume              = {83},
  number              = {10},
  pages               = {2832--2840},
  year                = {2002},
  publisher           = {Eco Soc America}
}




@article{link_etal:1994,
  title               = {Within-site variability in surveys of wildlife populations},
  author              = {Link, W. A. and Barker, R. J. and Sauer, J. R. and Droege, S.},
  journal             = {Ecology},
  pages               = {1097--1108},
  year                = {1994},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@book{mackenzie_etal:2006,
  title={Occupancy estimation and modeling: inferring patterns and dynamics of species occurrence},
  author={MacKenzie, D. I. and J. D Nichols and J. A. Royle and K. H. Pollock and L. L. Bailey and J. E. Hines},
  year={2006},
  publisher={Academic Press}
}



@article{marques_etal:2010,
  title               = {Point transect sampling along linear features},
  author              = {Marques, T A and Buckland, S T and Borchers, D L and Tosh, D. and McDonald, R A},
  journal             = {Biometrics},
  volume              = {66},
  number              = {4},
  pages               = {1247--1255},
  year                = {2010},
  publisher           = {Wiley Online Library}
}


@article{marsh_sinclair:1989,
  title               = {Correcting for visibility bias in strip transect aerial surveys of aquatic fauna},
  author              = {Marsh, H. and Sinclair, D F},
  journal             = {The Journal of wildlife management},
  pages               = {1017--1024},
  year                = {1989},
  publisher           = {JSTOR}
}


@book{matthews_etal:2004,
  title               = {Atlas of climate change effects in 150 bird species of the Eastern United States},
  author              = {Matthews, S. N. and O'Conner, Raymond and Iverson, Louis R. and Prasad, Anantha},
  year                = {2004},
  publisher           = {US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station}
}


@article{may:1975,
  title={Biological populations obeying difference equations: stable points, stable cycles, and chaos},
  author={May, R. M.},
  journal={Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  volume={51},
  number={2},
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