diff --git a/lecture10.md b/lecture10.md index 571add16..24aa1904 100644 --- a/lecture10.md +++ b/lecture10.md @@ -4,6 +4,10 @@ class: middle, center, title-slide Lecture 10: Artificial General Intelligence +??? + +https://futureoflife.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Jurgen-Schmidhuber.pdf?x56934 + --- # From technological breakthroughs... @@ -17,14 +21,14 @@ Lecture 10: Artificial General Intelligence .grid[ .col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news1.png)] .col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news2.png)] -.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news3.png)] -.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news4.png)] +.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news6.png)] +.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news8.png)] ] .grid[ .col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news5.png)] -.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news6.png)] +.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news3.png)] .col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news7.png)] -.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news8.png)] +.col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news4.png)] ] .grid[ .col-1-4[![](figures/lec10/news11.png)] @@ -35,29 +39,18 @@ Lecture 10: Artificial General Intelligence --- -# Singularity - -Irving John Good (1965): - -- Let an **ultraintelligent** machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man however clever. -- Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could *design even better machines*. -- There would then unquestionably be an **'intelligence explosion'**, and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. -- Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the *last invention* that man need ever make, provided that the machine is docile enough to tell us how to keep it under control. - ---- - # Artificial narrow intelligence - Artificial intelligence today is still very **narrow**. - Modern AI systems often reach super-human level performance. - - ... but only at very specific problems! - - They do not generalize to the real world nor to arbitrary tasks. + - ... but only at *very specific problems*! + - They **do not generalize** to the real world nor to arbitrary tasks. --- # AlphaGo -Convenient properties of AlphaGo: +**Convenient** properties of AlphaGo: - *Deterministic* (no noise in the game). - *Fully observed* (each player has complete information) - *Discrete action space* (finite number of actions possible) @@ -70,6 +63,8 @@ Convenient properties of AlphaGo: --- +class: smaller + # Picking challenge .center.width-100[![](figures/lec10/picking.png)] @@ -78,7 +73,12 @@ Convenient properties of AlphaGo: --- -class: middle +class: smaller + + +# Picking challenge + +.center.width-100[![](figures/lec10/picking.png)] - *Deterministic*: OK - *Fully observed*: **OKish** @@ -90,41 +90,76 @@ class: middle --- -# Where could AGI come from? +# Artificial general intelligence + +XXX + +--- + +# Singularity + +Irving John Good (1965): + +- Let an **ultraintelligent** machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man however clever. +- Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could *design even better machines*. +- There would then unquestionably be an **'intelligence explosion'**, and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. +- Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the *last invention* that man need ever make, provided that the machine is docile enough to tell us how to keep it under control. + +--- + +# When computers get smarter than we are + +.center[ + +] + +--- + +# How to build AGI? +Several working **hypothesis**: - *Supervised learning*: "It works, just scale up!" - *Unsupervised learning*: "It will work, if we only scale up!" -- *AIXI*: "Guys, I can write down optimal AI." - *Brain simulation*: "This will work one day, right?" +- *AIXI*: "Guys, I can write down optimal AI." - *Artificial life*: "Let just do what Nature did." +Or maybe something else? + --- -# Supervised learning +class: middle, center ---- +# AIXI -# Unsupervised learning +--- --- -# AIXI +class: middle, center + +# Artificial life --- -# Brain simulation +??? + +https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_life --- -# Artificial Life +class: middle, center + +# Conclusions --- -# Something else? +# Don't fear intelligent machines ---- +.center[ + +] -# Further readings +--- -- Add ref to Karpathy's slides -- Bostrom book +# Going further