-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 2
/
Copy pathan_example_simpy_model.qmd
261 lines (214 loc) · 11.1 KB
/
an_example_simpy_model.qmd
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
---
title: An example simpy model
format:
html:
code-fold: false
jupyter: python3
---
In the example we’re going to look at, we’ll model a very simple model - patients arriving at a clinic for a nurse consultation. One type of entity, one generator, one activity, one queue, one sink, one type of resource.
![](images/example_simplest_model.png)
A SimPy model can seem quite complex at first, particularly for such a simple model as this. But the good news is the overall structure is always the same, regardless of complexity.
## Import statements
First we need our import statements. The libraries you import will vary depending on your model and what you need, but these three are likely going to always be in there (the first must be!)
```{python}
import simpy
import random
import pandas as pd
```
::: callout-tip
**random** gives us access to stochastic sampling from probability distributions
:::
## g Class
Remember - the g Class stores our global parameter values for the model so we can easily change aspects of the model to test scenarios.
```{python}
# Class to store global parameter values. We don't create an instance of this
# class - we just refer to the class blueprint itself to access the numbers
# inside.
class g:
patient_inter = 5
mean_n_consult_time = 6
number_of_nurses = 1
sim_duration = 120
number_of_runs = 5
```
## Patient (entity) Class
```{python}
# Class representing patients coming in to the clinic. Here, patients have
# two attributes that they carry with them - their ID, and the amount of time
# they spent queuing for the nurse. The ID is passed in when a new patient is
# created.
class Patient:
def __init__(self, p_id):
self.id = p_id
self.q_time_nurse = 0
```
## Model Class
```{python}
# Class representing our model of the clinic.
class Model:
# Constructor to set up the model for a run. We pass in a run number when
# we create a new model.
def __init__(self, run_number):
# Create a SimPy environment in which everything will live
self.env = simpy.Environment()
# Create a patient counter (which we'll use as a patient ID)
self.patient_counter = 0
# Create a SimPy resource to represent a nurse, that will live in the
# environment created above. The number of this resource we have is
# specified by the capacity, and we grab this value from our g class.
self.nurse = simpy.Resource(self.env, capacity=g.number_of_nurses)
# Store the passed in run number
self.run_number = run_number
# Create a new Pandas DataFrame that will store some results against
# the patient ID (which we'll use as the index).
self.results_df = pd.DataFrame()
self.results_df["Patient ID"] = [1]
self.results_df["Q Time Nurse"] = [0.0]
self.results_df["Time with Nurse"] = [0.0]
self.results_df.set_index("Patient ID", inplace=True)
# Create an attribute to store the mean queuing time for the nurse
# across this run of the model
self.mean_q_time_nurse = 0
# A generator function that represents the DES generator for patient
# arrivals
def generator_patient_arrivals(self):
# We use an infinite loop here to keep doing this indefinitely whilst
# the simulation runs
while True:
# Increment the patient counter by 1 (this means our first patient
# will have an ID of 1)
self.patient_counter += 1
# Create a new patient - an instance of the Patient Class we
# defined above. Remember, we pass in the ID when creating a
# patient - so here we pass the patient counter to use as the ID.
p = Patient(self.patient_counter)
# Tell SimPy to start up the attend_clinic generator function with
# this patient (the generator function that will model the
# patient's journey through the system)
self.env.process(self.attend_clinic(p))
# Randomly sample the time to the next patient arriving. Here, we
# sample from an exponential distribution (common for inter-arrival
# times), and pass in a lambda value of 1 / mean. The mean
# inter-arrival time is stored in the g class.
sampled_inter = random.expovariate(1.0 / g.patient_inter)
# Freeze this instance of this function in place until the
# inter-arrival time we sampled above has elapsed. Note - time in
# SimPy progresses in "Time Units", which can represent anything
# you like (just make sure you're consistent within the model)
yield self.env.timeout(sampled_inter)
# A generator function that represents the pathway for a patient going
# through the clinic. Here the pathway is extremely simple - a patient
# arrives, waits to see a nurse, and then leaves.
# The patient object is passed in to the generator function so we can
# extract information from / record information to it
def attend_clinic(self, patient):
# Record the time the patient started queuing for a nurse
start_q_nurse = self.env.now
# This code says request a nurse resource, and do all of the following
# block of code with that nurse resource held in place (and therefore
# not usable by another patient)
with self.nurse.request() as req:
# Freeze the function until the request for a nurse can be met.
# The patient is currently queuing.
yield req
# When we get to this bit of code, control has been passed back to
# the generator function, and therefore the request for a nurse has
# been met. We now have the nurse, and have stopped queuing, so we
# can record the current time as the time we finished queuing.
end_q_nurse = self.env.now
# Calculate the time this patient was queuing for the nurse, and
# record it in the patient's attribute for this.
patient.q_time_nurse = end_q_nurse - start_q_nurse
# Now we'll randomly sample the time this patient with the nurse.
# Here, we use an Exponential distribution for simplicity, but you
# would typically use a Log Normal distribution for a real model
# (we'll come back to that). As with sampling the inter-arrival
# times, we grab the mean from the g class, and pass in 1 / mean
# as the lambda value.
sampled_nurse_act_time = random.expovariate(1.0 /
g.mean_n_consult_time)
# Here we'll store the queuing time for the nurse and the sampled
# time to spend with the nurse in the results DataFrame against the
# ID for this patient. In real world models, you may not want to
# bother storing the sampled activity times - but as this is a
# simple model, we'll do it here.
# We use a handy property of pandas called .at, which works a bit
# like .loc. .at allows us to access (and therefore change) a
# particular cell in our DataFrame by providing the row and column.
# Here, we specify the row as the patient ID (the index), and the
# column for the value we want to update for that patient.
self.results_df.at[patient.id, "Q Time Nurse"] = (
patient.q_time_nurse)
self.results_df.at[patient.id, "Time with Nurse"] = (
sampled_nurse_act_time)
# Freeze this function in place for the activity time we sampled
# above. This is the patient spending time with the nurse.
yield self.env.timeout(sampled_nurse_act_time)
# When the time above elapses, the generator function will return
# here. As there's nothing more that we've written, the function
# will simply end. This is a sink. We could choose to add
# something here if we wanted to record something - e.g. a counter
# for number of patients that left, recording something about the
# patients that left at a particular sink etc.
# This method calculates results over a single run. Here we just calculate
# a mean, but in real world models you'd probably want to calculate more.
def calculate_run_results(self):
# Take the mean of the queuing times for the nurse across patients in
# this run of the model.
self.mean_q_time_nurse = self.results_df["Q Time Nurse"].mean()
# The run method starts up the DES entity generators, runs the simulation,
# and in turns calls anything we need to generate results for the run
def run(self):
# Start up our DES entity generators that create new patients. We've
# only got one in this model, but we'd need to do this for each one if
# we had multiple generators.
self.env.process(self.generator_patient_arrivals())
# Run the model for the duration specified in g class
self.env.run(until=g.sim_duration)
# Now the simulation run has finished, call the method that calculates
# run results
self.calculate_run_results()
# Print the run number with the patient-level results from this run of
# the model
print (f"Run Number {self.run_number}")
print (self.results_df)
```
## Trial Class
```{python}
# Class representing a Trial for our simulation - a batch of simulation runs.
class Trial:
# The constructor sets up a pandas dataframe that will store the key
# results from each run (just the mean queuing time for the nurse here)
# against run number, with run number as the index.
def __init__(self):
self.df_trial_results = pd.DataFrame()
self.df_trial_results["Run Number"] = [0]
self.df_trial_results["Mean Q Time Nurse"] = [0.0]
self.df_trial_results.set_index("Run Number", inplace=True)
# Method to print out the results from the trial. In real world models,
# you'd likely save them as well as (or instead of) printing them
def print_trial_results(self):
print ("Trial Results")
print (self.df_trial_results)
# Method to run a trial
def run_trial(self):
# Run the simulation for the number of runs specified in g class.
# For each run, we create a new instance of the Model class and call its
# run method, which sets everything else in motion. Once the run has
# completed, we grab out the stored run results (just mean queuing time
# here) and store it against the run number in the trial results
# dataframe.
for run in range(g.number_of_runs):
my_model = Model(run)
my_model.run()
self.df_trial_results.loc[run] = [my_model.mean_q_time_nurse]
# Once the trial (ie all runs) has completed, print the final results
self.print_trial_results()
```
Now we just need to run the trial and print out the results!
```{python}
# Create an instance of the Trial class
my_trial = Trial()
# Call the run_trial method of our Trial object
my_trial.run_trial()
```