diff --git a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.html b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.html index dd0a69b..2d84599 100644 --- a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.html +++ b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.html @@ -391,41 +391,33 @@

Attribution Decomposition

Return on Ad Spend (ROAS)

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Out-of-sample Forecasting

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Prediction accuracy (CRPS)
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Model Evaluation Framework

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Evaluate the model on the holdout set:

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  • Prediction accuracy (CRPS)
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  • Parameter Stability
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Parameter Stability
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Time-varying Parameters

diff --git a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.pdf b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.pdf index f010f15..ce4cec7 100644 Binary files a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.pdf and b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.pdf differ diff --git a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.qmd b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.qmd index f79a939..1dc8038 100644 --- a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.qmd +++ b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025.qmd @@ -207,29 +207,15 @@ mmm.plot_components_contributions(original_scale=True); ![](amld_2025_files/static/images/roas_posterior.png){fig-align="center" width="1000"} -## Out-of-sample Forecasting {.smaller} +## Out-of-sample Forecasting -::: {.columns} - -::: {.column width="50%"} - -![](amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png){fig-align="center" width="500"} - -::: +::: {style="text-align:center;"} +::: {layout=[[50,50]] layout-valign="bottom"} -::: {.column width="50%"} - -::: {.callout-tip title="Model Evaluation Framework"} - -Evaluate the model on the holdout set: - -- Prediction accuracy (CRPS) -- Parameter Stability - -::: +![Prediction accuracy (CRPS)](amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png){fig-align="center" width="500"} -![](amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv_alpha.png){fig-align="center" width="900"} +![Parameter Stability](amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv_alpha.png){fig-align="center" width="500" } ::: diff --git a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png index fbdbb64..89739de 100644 Binary files a/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png and b/Presentations/amld_2025/amld_2025_files/static/images/tscv.png differ