Note that the Home Buyer Index data covers more than 1,200 counties, where approximately 85% of the U.S. population live. Counties that don't have enough real estate transactions to make a meaningful assessment of market conditions are excluded.
This is the data behind the analysis comparing how much the vote margin in certain counties in the 2024 presidential election shifted, compared to 2020. Election result data is as of mid November.
- geo_id: FIPS code
- hbi: The Home Buyer Index average for that county from January 2024 to September 2024. The HBI is graded on a scale of 0 to 100, 100 is a most-difficult market, 0 is an easy homebuying market.
- margin-pct-pt-chg: The percentage point change in the vote margin from 2020 to 2024. Positive values are a shift toward Trump, negative values a shift toward Harris. Example: If Biden received 55% of the vote and Trump 43% in 2020, the margin was -12 percentage points. Further, if in 2024, Harris received 52% of the vote and Trump 47%, that margin was -5 percentage points, a shift toward Trump of 7 percentage points.
- shift-direction: Did the vote shift toward the Republicans (shift R) or the Democrats (shift D)