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Winning alternative have more probability of losing (?) #529

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caepenna opened this issue Aug 8, 2018 · 0 comments
Open

Winning alternative have more probability of losing (?) #529

caepenna opened this issue Aug 8, 2018 · 0 comments

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@caepenna
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caepenna commented Aug 8, 2018

One of my experiments have one alternative winning by 7% but it has lower probability of winning (41%). Does it make any sense? I can't figure out the math behind it.

There is still no sufficient confidence, and I think it will normalize with more participants, but I was intrigued by this and wanted to understand it better. Does anyone have any idea why this is going on?

screen shot 2018-08-08 at 17 36 23
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