Part A
Context
In the realm of modern finance, businesses encounter the perpetual challenge of managing debt obligations effectively to maintain a favorable credit standing and foster sustainable growth. Investors keenly scrutinize companies capable of navigating financial complexities while ensuring stability and profitability. A pivotal instrument in this evaluation process is the balance sheet, which provides a comprehensive overview of a company's assets, liabilities, and shareholder equity, offering insights into its financial health and operational efficiency. In this context, leveraging available financial data, particularly from preceding fiscal periods, becomes imperative for informed decision-making and strategic planning.
Objective
A group of venture capitalists want to develop a Financial Health Assessment Tool. With the help of the tool, it endeavors to empower businesses and investors with a robust mechanism for evaluating the financial well-being and creditworthiness of companies. By harnessing machine learning techniques, they aim to analyze historical financial statements and extract pertinent insights to facilitate informed decision-making via the tool. Specifically, they foresee facilitating the following with the help of the tool:
- Debt Management Analysis: Identify patterns and trends in debt management practices to assess the ability of businesses to fulfill financial obligations promptly and efficiently, and identify potential cases of default.
- Credit Risk Evaluation: Evaluate credit risk exposure by analyzing liquidity ratios, debt-to-equity ratios, and other key financial indicators to ascertain the likelihood of default and inform investment decisions.
They have hired you as a data scientist and provided you with the financial metrics of different companies. The task is to analyze the data provided and develop a predictive model leveraging machine learning techniques to identify whether a given company will be tagged as a defaulter in terms of net worth next year. The predictive model will help the organization anticipate potential challenges with the financial performance of the companies and enable proactive risk mitigation strategies.
Part B
Context
Investors face market risk, arising from asset price fluctuations due to economic events, geopolitical developments, and investor sentiment changes. Understanding and analyzing this risk is crucial for informed decision-making and optimizing investment strategies.
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to conduct Market Risk Analysis on a portfolio of Indian stocks using Python. It uses historical stock price data to understand market volatility and riskiness. Using statistical measures like mean and standard deviation, investors gain a deeper understanding of individual stocks' performance and portfolio variability.
Through this analysis, investors can aim to achieve the following objectives:
- Risk Assessment: Analyze the historical volatility of individual stocks and the overall portfolio.
- Portfolio Optimization: Use Market Risk Analysis insights to enhance risk-adjusted returns.
- Performance Evaluation: Assess portfolio management strategies' effectiveness in mitigating market risk.
- Portfolio Performance Monitoring: Monitor portfolio performance over time and adjust as market conditions and risk preferences change.
Data Dictionary
The dataset contains weekly stock price data for 5 Indian stocks over an 8-year period. The dataset enables us to analyze the historical performance of individual stocks and the overall market dynamics.