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https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/06/americas-most-influential-coronavirus-model-just-revised-its-estimates-downward-not-every-model-agrees/
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/1/21203198/coronavirus-deaths-us-italy-china-south-korea
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/