Add MAMean (MA(q)) model with volatility & forecasting support #778
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This PR introduces an implementation of the Moving Average (MA) mean model—
MAMean
—as a new subclass ofARCHModel
.It fills a longstanding gap in ARCH’s mean model suite, enabling direct modeling of MA(q) dynamics in return series.
Key Features
MAMean
, supporting flexible lag orderq
, with optional constant term.-API:
.fit()
,.simulate()
,.forecast()
,.resids
-Volatility support: Tested with
GARCH(1,1)
(others welcome)__init__.py
and__all__
🧪 Testing
MAMean
+GARCH(1,1)
:📝 Notes
GARCH(1,1)
and Future tests with EGARCH, APARCH is encouragedARX
/HARX
, making future extensions trivial