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PEDS Place based, event driven simulation model 1) relatively fine grained: people & places (offices, elevators, apartments, subways, buses, streets, parks, playgrounds, PPE, ...) 2) graphical model Nodes: persons & places Paths: person visits places 3) viral density field (VDF) diffusion and ventilation 4) exposure (exponentially weighted sum over path of VDF) causes 5) step ~ 6 mins Disease transmision: 1) asymptomatic 2) symptomatic 3) probability distribution: exposure(\int vdf): -> infection a) probability of infection after spending NSTEPS steps with an infected person (VDF = 1) is 1. Simple model: 1)Infected person produces some (default=(1/NSTEPS)/step units) with VDF 2)Probability of infection ∝ exponential trailing average of VDF A population is a composite with leaves of people A business district is a composite with leaf nodes of various types In uses of composites, different node types may be handled differently. Data Structures: 1) population: network: nodes are composites or leaf. ops set number of person nodes. number of space nodes. ops persons and space nodes setInfectionState showInfectionState showPaths simulate path traversal iterative path traversal. Approximate viral density in various, interconnected spaces. A graphical model (nodes & paths). Nodes may be 'person' (or spatial nodes (subway, elevator,office..). Each path begins and ends at one of the person node. Spatial nodes have characteristics relevant(?) to transmission. Characteristics of the spatial nodes represent social distancing rules. ∝
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