Added new section

New section about betting results
pjastam · Jul 21, 2019 · a91b32c · a91b32c
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diff --git a/NL_eredivisie_2014_2019.Rmd b/NL_eredivisie_2014_2019.Rmd
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 ---
 title: "Bayesian estimation of a Poisson model for Dutch football matches odds"
 author: "Piet Stam"
-date: "July 20th, 2019"
+date: "July 21st, 2019"
 output: html_document
 ---
 
@@ -34,6 +34,7 @@ knitr::knit_hooks$set(purl = knitr::hook_purl)
      - [Predicting the future](#prediction)
      - [Betting on the match outcome](#matchbetting)
      - [Betting on the correct score](#scorebetting)
+     - [Betting results](#bettingresults)
 
   5. [Appendix](#appendix)
      - [Who do you call?](#contact)
@@ -513,6 +514,28 @@ The most likely result is 1 - 1 with a predicted payout of 9.70, which can be co
 
 [Return to table of contents](#index)
 
+## <a name="bettingresults"></a>Betting results
+
+As the English say: "put your money where your mouth is". So, at the time, I placed a 1 euro bet on three potential outcomes of the AZ-PSV match:
+
+* a 0-0 equalizer
+* a 1-1 equalizer
+* an AZ win over PSV
+
+I uploaded my official betting ticket to GitHub as proof:
+
+![](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/8238853/61595945-b8fa5580-abfd-11e9-83ea-4933f6bcd9ee.PNG)
+
+As the true outcome of this match was a 1-0 victory of AZ over PSV, the results of my betting adventure are a loss, a loss and a win, respectively. Here you can find the official ticket with my betting results (in reverse order):
+
+![](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/8238853/61595949-c283bd80-abfd-11e9-8f93-8efb7131be60.PNG)
+
+So, with a 3 euro stake I earned 4.15 euro, which means a profit margin of 1.15 / 3 = 38%.
+
+For those interested, my bets were placed on [the Dutch Lottery website](https://toto.nederlandseloterij.nl/) (disclosure: I do *not* own shares in that company) and I posted about my one-off betting experience [on LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/de-bal-rond-piet-stam/) (in Dutch) at the time.
+
+[Return to table of contents](#index)
+
 # <a name="appendix"></a>Appendix
 
 ## <a name="contact"></a>Who do you call?